Betting strategies, totals and teaser tips for NFL Week 12

The NFL Week 12 card before Thanksgiving is a letdown following the Week 11 big games and closes contests between the Seahawks-Rams, Chiefs-Broncos and Bears-Vikings. The Eagles-Lions key game and 16-9 final was one of nine games that had 41 or less combined points in a lower-scoring week overall. The NFL Week 12 schedule has just three division games but no division contests between top teams battling on top. However, the Steelers-Bears interconference clash is surprisingly between first place teams in the second half of the season. 

National Football League games are averaging just over 46 points per game this season, and Week 12 features five game totals of more than 48 points and eight games with favorites of a TD (6 points) or more. 

NFL Week 12 Odds

Betting lines and NFL odds from BetOnline and top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Point spread on favorites and division games in bold. 

- Buffalo (-6) at Houston, 43.5 - Thursday
- Pittsburgh at Chicago (-2.5), 45.5
- NY Jets at Baltimore (-13.5), 44
- NY Giants at Detroit (-10.5), 50
- New England (-7) at Cincinnati, 50
- Seattle (-13.5) at Tennessee, 40
- Minnesota at Green Bay (-6.5), 40.5
- Indianapolis at Kansas City (-3.5), 49.5
- Jacksonville (-3) at Arizona, 47.5
- Cleveland at Las Vegas (-4), 36
- Atlanta at New Orleans (-2), 39.5
- Philadelphia (-3.5) at Dallas, 47.5
- Tampa Bay at LA Rams (-6.5), 49.5 - SNF
- Carolina at San Francisco (-7), 48.5 - MNF

Bye: Broncos, Chargers, Dolphins, Commanders

Check out the Week 12 injury reports, and monitor the NFL weather. More quarterbacks out this week and some for the season like Michael Penix (ATL, knee). Dillon Gabriel (CLE, concussion), CJ Stroud (HOU, concussion), Kyler Murray (AZ, foot), Aaron Rodgers (PIT, wrist, monitor status) are out. Also monitor Joe Burrow (CIN, toe) as he tries to return after missing the past eight games. 

That means the bumbling Browns (2-8) will start another rookie at quarterback. Shedeur Sanders figures to be another one not ready for prime time and likely to struggle, even against the Raiders (2-8). Two longtime losing and struggling teams and organizations playing on Sunday during over-congested, money-grabbing and greedy enterprise of F1 in Las Vegas this week. Seems appropriate. 

Our totals pick was a bad loser last week on Bears-Vikings 19-17 last second Chicago victory in a game they dominated until a surprising late Vikings rally after the terrible play, performance and numerous missed passes of Minnesota quarterback J.J. McCarthy. He's looking as clueless as others I have been critical of on these pages, and we play the game total in the Vikings game again this week. What were the Vikings and their GM thinking when they let both Sam Darnold and Daniel Jones leave this offseason? Other than saving money. Backfire badly so far.  

Week 12 Game Totals

Check back for more including any top pick as we review more stats and injury reports.

Opinions 

More line adjustments including MIN-GB down from 41.5 to 41 to 40.5 

Vikings-Packers - Under
Jaguars-Cardinals - Over

Teasers

- Packers, Cowboys, 49ers

Tips And Trends 

The combination of the Patriots efficient and productive offense and competent QB play combined with the Bengals league-worst scoring defense (33.4 ppg) and also No. 32 yards per play defense (418 ypg) makes this a potential 'over' the total play. Cincinnati will play without star WR Ja'Marr Chase (suspended). But consider that Bengals home games are 11-1 over/under (64.5 ppg) since the start of last season. The Playbook Totals Tipsheet adds that AFC road favorites of greater than 6 points are 25-6 over/under the last four years including 16-2 over/under in non-division play. Interesting trend and note this season is NFL teams are 9-0 over/under after playing the woeful Jets, and the Patriots just pasted New York 27-14 to win their 8th straight game. 

Last week included nine division contests with three key division games I outlined that were decided on the final play - Bears-Vikings, Chiefs-Broncos and Seahawks-Rams. The nine division games went 3-6 over/under and nine total games for the week had combined scores of 41 or less points. Also 11 teams had 300 or less offensive yards with most of them losing teams with poor quarterbacks and play - Jets, Titans, Bengals, Browns, Vikings, Falcons, Raiders.

The Week 12 card has eight games lined with favorites of a TD or more as the top teams separate from bottom teams and leading online sportsbooks hoping a few upsets come in to derail the popular moneyline parlays on big favorites - not for me.

You can get an early start for next week's three Thanksgiving Day games plus another on Friday during feast week. I chip-in early coverage of those contests plus stats, odds and information you can bet on for BetOnline. 

Along with our weekly NFL tips, totals, teasers and trends, check back for any additions plus more picks, props and parlays over the weekend following a 3-0 Sunday sweep in Week 11 on picks and opinions. More to review and consider ahead of the watch and wager NFL Week 12 schedule.

You can bet on it. 

FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper with top of the leaderboard success in NFL pointspread prognosis. Fairway is recognized as one of the sports industry's insightful analysts, and he chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Follow FairwayJay here at OSGA.com and on X @FairwayJay for more sports betting insights.