Superbowl LX picks, props and betting Patriots-Seahawks
Big Game betting really picks up the week of Super Bowl LX, and the media frenzy surrounding the Patriots-Seahawks game adds to the rush of the most bet game of the year. Along with our weekly picks, props, parlays and tips, totals, teasers and trends each week during the season, we finish the NFL playoffs and the Super Bowl covering the annual smorgasbord of prop bets.
Leading online sportsbooks including BetOnline offer dozens of novelty props in addition to the most bet side, total and player props and proposition bets that add to the engagement and excitement of the biggest sporting event of the year. It's also essentially an annual sporting holiday with fans, friends and football together at parties across the country and world. That includes the sports and entertainment capital of the world in Las Vegas, where the prop betting craze began back in the 1980's with the Chicago Bears Super Bowl Shuffle and Refrigerator Perry props. I now report live from Las Vegas, and often attend major events including Super Bowl parties.
So it's the final football game of the 2025-26 season, and we've said throughout to find the best odds, and bet within your limits with the top online sportsbooks, who often have better contests for customers, offering top payouts.
Also, check out BetOnline sportsbook brand manager Dave Mason's updates on X, and his insight on YouTube for Super Bowl LX betting, market moves and more.
#twitter_embed_1#
With well over 1,000 prop bets, BetOnline adds hundreds of novelty bets along with most popular prop bets for Super Bowl that I also update on BetOnline news. One of the 10 most popular props is betting on the over/under time of the National Anthem. It opened at 120 seconds, bet up to 125 seconds and bet back down yesterday to O/U 122 seconds.
Super Bowl Picks and Props
Action Network research team reports that since 2004, the underdog is 15-7 against the spread (ATS) in the Super Bowl and the 'Dog has covered the spread in each of the last five Super Bowls. Big Game underdogs of 3+ points are are 13-4 ATS since 2002.
Still, after cashing in easily in last year's Super Bowl LIX blowout of the Eagles over Chiefs 40-22, and the Eagles over the Chiefs in the 2023 Super Bowl, I'm riding the NFC again with the Seahawks to roll to another double-digit victory. I mentioned previously on OSGA Week 15 picks to bet the NFC -2.5 and moneyline (-140), which is now Seahawks -4.5, moneyline -235 and total 45.5.
Sportsbooks have adjusted the advance betting line to NFC -2.5, and that's a bet looking at the strength of the NFC versus more pretenders in the AFC. Look no further than this week's Packers-Broncos matchup this week in Denver to see Green Bay a 2-point road favorite. On a neutral field like Su
per Bowl LX in Santa Clara, the Packers would be a bigger favorite closer to 4+ points, and especially if they beat the Broncos Sunday. So the Rams or Seahawks would be a bigger favorite over all AFC teams in Super Bowl LX.
The Patriots 18 points per game average in this year's three playoff games is the fewest for a Super Bowl team since the 1979 Rams. Not only did the Patriots play the easiest schedule in the NFL this season, but New England caught breaks in the playoff with opponent injuries an very untimely turnovers. The Patriots have some injury issues to sort through, while the Seahawks have simply been one of the two best teams in the NFL this season, and they just beat the other one in the NFC Championship Game.
The Seahawks had the league's best DVOA this season, and an elite defense against a stronger schedule ranking No. 1 in EPA per play allowed, No. 3 in success rate allowed, No. 4 in passing success rate allowed and No. 1 in rushing success rate allowed.
Seattle has the 5th highest DVOA ever behind the dominant 1991 Redskins, 2007 Patriots, 1985 Bears and 1989 Niners - four of those teams won the Super Bowl and only the undefeated 2007 Patriots team lost. The 2025 New England Patriots made a massive turnaround from last year's 4-13 team to post a 14-3 record this season and now 3-straight playoff wins in inclement weather.
The Seahawks are 8-2 SU/ATS against fellow playoff teams this season, and Patriots 5-2/4-3 benefitting from turnovers. Against five common opponents this season, the Seahawks are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS and outgained all five (+241 yards), while the Patriots are 4-1/3-2 and +186.
Additional trends and data from Playbook Sports and Vegas Stats & Information Network show No. 1 seeds in the Super Bowl (Seahawks) are 15-21 SU and 12-22-2 ATS since 1990, including 7-22 SU and 4-14-2 ATS versus non-No.1 seeds.
The straight up winner of the Super Bowl is 50-7-2 ATS.
The teams that have failed to score 20 points in the Super Bowl have been 2-25 SU and 4-22-1 ATS since 1980. Teams that score 27 or more points in the Super Bowl are 32-5 SU and 29-7-1 ATS since 1980.
In the last 24 Super Bowl, no player has hit 200+ receiving yards, or returned a punt for a touchdown.
Since the Super Bowl era began, 16 teams reached the Big Game after allowing fewer than 10 points per game during their playoff run. Those teams are 14-2 ATS in the Super Bowl, and the 2025 Patriots fit the profile. Still, we bet the Seahawks and NFC earlier and believe our eyes and stats more. The Patriots good fortune and struggling offense includes facing a weakened Chargers offensive line in wintery weather, completely clueless bumbling QB C.J. Stroud (5 turnovers) and the Texans when Patriots QB Drake Maye also had too many turnovers, and a backup QB in Denver who also gifted the Patriots a TD off turnover in 10-7 final.
The Seattle Seahawks are this year's Super Bowl LX champions.
You can bet on it.
Check out more Super Bowl LX props, and I'll add more prop picks and player props by Friday after going 5-1 on player props in the Patriots-Broncos and Rams-Seahawks conference championship games.
FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper with top of the leaderboard success in NFL pointspread prognosis. Fairway is recognized as one of the sports industry's insightful analysts, and he chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Follow FairwayJay here at OSGA.com and on X @FairwayJay for more sports betting insights.
per Bowl LX in Santa Clara, the Packers would be a bigger favorite closer to 4+ points, and especially if they beat the Broncos Sunday. So the Rams or Seahawks would be a bigger favorite over all AFC teams in Super Bowl LX.
