Rams-49ers Highlight NFL Week 10 Tips, Totals, Teasers and Trends

Following the Week 9 record week for betting favorites (11-2 ATS), the NFL continues into Week 10 and the second half of the season. 

The tips, totals and teasers posted here at OSGA had more totals winners in Week 7 and Week 8, and split last week with the tips, strategies and approach including trends, stats analysis and top offenses rising up with back-to-back weeks of more than 48 points per game (ave.) in weeks 8-9. 

NFL Week 10 Odds

Betting lines and NFL odds from BetOnline and top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Point spread on favorites and division games in bold. 

- Las Vegas at Denver (-9), 43 - Thursday
- Atlanta vs Indianapolis (-6.5, 48 - Berlin, Germany
- Cleveland (-2.5) at New York Jets, 37.5
- New Orleans at Carolina (-5.5), 39.5
- Buffalo (-9.5) at Miami, 50.5 
- Jacksonville (1.5) at Houston, 37.5
- Baltimore (-4) at Minnesota, 49
- New England at Tampa Bay (-2.5), 48
- New York Giants at Chicago (-4.5), 46.5
- Arizona at Seattle (-6.5), 45
- Detroit (-8) at Washington, 49
- Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) at San Francisco, 49.5
- Pittsburgh at Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5), 45 SNF
- Philadelphia at Green Bay (-1.5), 45 MNF

The Packers are -2.5 at most top online sportsbooks with BetOnline offering reduced line as low as -1 with higher odds (-124).

Six division games this week headlined by two NFC West contests where the Seahawks and Rams are 6-2 and the 49ers 6-3 as they battle more injuries in Week 10 and key starters on defense out for the season. Then Week 11 ahead has nine division games and the Seahawks and Rams will play in Los Angeles in another key division and NFC contest with playoff positioning and implications in play. 

Also monitor the NFL weather each week with a chance of snow (!) in Chicago and Green Bay for key games including the Eagles-Packers Monday Night Football feature in Week 10. 

Game Totals 

Ravens-Vikings - Under (Opinion)

A high total, but some very positive trends point to a little less scoring despite the Ravens 6-2 over/under this season and the Vikings 7-1 over/under with six straight games going over the total. Both quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and J.J. McCarthy returned to action last week following injuries that kept them out of the lineup for at least a month. Jackson passed for 204 yards and 4 TD's in a 28-6 road win at Miami, while McCarthy passed for just 143 yards and 3.9 yards per pass play with 258 total yards offense at 4.4 yards per play for the Vikings in a big 27-24 upset win at Detroit. The Vikings lead the NFL with a 45% pressure rate and a league-high 58% blitz rate while the Ravens offensive line ranks 27th in pass blocking efficiency. Baltimore’s defense is conceding just -0.06 EPA/play since week 6 (7th) after the trade for S Alohi Gilman. All-Pro safety Kyle Hamilton lines up in the box more often (57% of his snaps) and McCarthy will be under more pressure again. Two-time Ravens MVP quarterback Lamar Jackson is 20-4 SU, 18-6 ATS lifetime against NFC opponents with 50 touchdowns to 18 turnovers as the Ravens (-4) play the road favorite role against the Vikings in Minneapolis.  

Saints-Panthers - Over (Opinion)

A low total that has been bet down, but see my pick on the Panthers with analysis on why they will run wild over the Saints. New Orleans rookie QB Tyler Shough makes his second start off 176 passing yards last week, and should be more comfortable even without traded WR Rashid Shaheed after facing the Rams stronger defense that was coming off a bye last week in a 34-10 Rams victory. Panthers mostly clueless QB Bryce Young returned from injury last week and only passed 20 times. He may not need to do much more again this week, but more success against the Saints defense allowing 68.3% completions with the Panthers team total over 22.5 points in play. 

Check back over the weekend for any additions, updates and notable totals and trends. That includes on the Lions, who are laying big chalk on the road with Playbook Sports noting Detroit on a 7-1 ATS run as a non-division road favorite and 7-1 ATS coming off a straight-up loss as a favorite under coach Dan Campbell. 

Teasers

Evalating more with line moves and consider 6.5-point teasers this week with plus price on 3-teams that includes Broncos on Thursday night with the Raiders in a terrible spot on short week travel to altitude off another disheartening home loss in Week 9. 

 - Broncos, Texans, Vikings, Seahawks, Eagles

VSiN notes that in Weeks 1-8, Thursday night home teams are 19-33-2 ATS (36.5%) in the last 54. Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in Weeks 9 and later are 42-27-3 ATS (60.9%). 

Home favorites of 7 points or more are on a 32-3 SU and 21-12-2 ATS (63.6%) run on Thursday games since the start of the 2014 season, providing more support for big favorites against weaker teams traveling on short rest.

Along with our weekly NFL tips, totals and teasers, check back for any additions plus more picks, props and parlays over the weekend. Week 8-9 picks and opinions went 5-2 after the bumbling Bro Texans coach fkd up clock management in final minute of game and 18-15 loss to the Broncos, which was a Week 9 totals winner. Player props are 13-5 since Week 3 as we shoot for more winners following a 57% ATS run picking and posting only NFL underdogs from 2017-2023 at Off Shore Gaming Association. 

You can bet on it.

FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper with top of the leaderboard success in NFL pointspread prognosis. Fairway is recognized as one of the sports industry's insightful analysts, and he chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Follow FairwayJay here at OSGA.com and on X @FairwayJay for more sports betting insights.