Week 13 NFL underdog predictions and picks

The NFL Week 13 schedule features six division games and kicks off Thanksgiving Day with three contests including a pair of division contests with traditional hosts Detroit vs. Chicago and Dallas vs. New York Giants. The intereconference class at turkey time is Miami at Green Bay. Then on Black Friday the 2-time defending Super Bowl champions Kansas City Chiefs host the losing Las Vegas Raiders in a game survivor contest players will be banking on the Chiefs if they still have the champs available.

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NFL Week 13 Odds

Pro football odds from BetOnline and leading online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting.

NFL Week 13 Early Bet Count

72% DET -10 v CHI
82% DAL -4 v NYG
72% GB -3 v MIA
69% LV +12.5 @ KC
56% WAS -5.5 v TEN
70% LAC -1 @ ATL
51% CIN -2.5 v PIT
69% IND -3 @ NE
57% HOU -5 @ JAX
53% MIN -3.5 v AZ
89% SEA -2.5 @ NYJ
71% TB -6 @ CAR
67% LAR -3 @ NO
71% PHI +3 @ BAL
64% BUF…

— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) November 26, 2024

Opinions and Considerations for Week 13 below and an early Sunday underdog Pick as we evaluate the injury reports for all teams and note the changing spreads, odds and adjustments while also monitoring the NFL weather with potential light snow in Green Bay on Thanksgiving with cold temps in the 20's and wind gusts up to 20 mph. Snow showers are more likely in Buffalo Sunday with colts temps in the 20's. 

A 2-2 ATS result in Week 12 with 2 outright winners and the 2024 underdog picks only are 22-21 ATS with 14 outright winners. The 8-year record on NFL underdog picks at Off Shore Gaming Association is 212-167 ATS. That includes a 70% season (28-12 ATS) in 2021 and last year a 11-1 ATS run in December with 9 outright winners. Sunday, Dec. 1 is part of Week 13 as we fire for another strong finish. 

Note teams playing Week 13 off a bye week with extra rest advantage and prep include the Bills, Bengals, Falcons, Jaguars, Jets and Saints. There is no bye for any teams in Week 13, and Week 14 is the last bye week with the Broncos, Colts, Commanders, Patriots, Ravens, Texans having the week off before five of those teams make their push for the playoffs. 

Week 13 Underdog Opinions and Considerations

Miami (+3.5) at Green Bay - Dolphins Moneyline +150
Tennessee (+5.5) at Washington - Titans Moneyline +210
New England (+3) vs. Indianapolis - Patriots Moneyline +130
Jacksonville (+5) vs. Houston - Jaguars Moneyline +190
New York (+2.5) vs. Seattle - Jets Moneyline +115
Carolina (+6) vs. Tampa Bay - Panthers Moneyline +210
New Orleans (+3) vs. LA Rams - Saints Moneyline +135
Philadelphia (+3) at Baltimore - Eagles Moneyline +135
San Francisco (+7) at Buffalo - 49ers Moneyline +260

Do your best to find the best odds as you make your bets and profit from the experience. I'll try to add some additional stats and notes for Thanksgiving Day games. Also, Black Friday will not be adding the ridiculous Raiders as 'Dog, who are expected to start QB Aidan O'Connell (thumb) as he returns from injury. Quarterback Gardner Minshew suffered a broken collarbone in the Week 12 home loss to Denver. O'Connell 'led' the road upset of the Chiefs last year at Christmas with 62 passing yards as a +14 'Dog. That's not coming close to happening this year. 

Fairway's Forecast - NFL Week 13 Underdog Picks

Philadelphia (+3) at Baltimore - Eagles Moneyline +130
Tennessee (+6) at Washington - Titans Moneyline +215
Atlanta (+1) vs. LA Chargers - Falcons Moneyline +100
New York (+1 / +1.5) vs. Seattle - Jets Moneyline +105
New Orleans (+3) vs. LA Rams - Saints Moneyline +125
Jacksonville (+3.5 / +4) vs. Houston - Jaguars Moneyline +170
San Francisco (+6 / +6.5) at Buffalo - 49ers Moneyline +245
New England (+2.5 / +3, buy) vs. Indianapolis - Patriots Moneyline +120

Thanksgiving Day player props posted in my Week 13 NFL coverage in Forbes.
Sat. update: Line moves, adjustments, injuries and more review ahead of Sunday's NFL games.
Added picks above to Eagles earlier-week pick. Lost best numbers on Jaguars, Jets and 49ers, but still providing and can reduce wagers as needed as if Opinions. 1H and live betting in play with expected winning week for underdogs.

Sunday update: Added Patriots, and Colts have significant issues and replacements along the offensive line, and Bro QB Anthony Richardson will be under more pressure and awful passing accuracy. Fumbles and INT's in play. 

BetOnline provides added player props for NFL games including prime time props, in addition to the best odds for pointspreads and total. Halftime betting is available as you enjoy more watch and wager action. Every day of the week, BetOnline customers can get greatly enhanced payouts on pre-selected parlays with Odds Booster. 

FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper with unparalleled success in NFL pointspread prognosis. Fairway is recognized as one of the sports industry's insightful analysts, and he chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Follow FairwayJay here at OSGA.com and on X @FairwayJay for more sports betting insights.