If most of today's line moves look like yesterday's when considering the teams, that is correct. So many day games have something to do with it. however. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks, and predictions (51-36-2 of late) to see what we are thinking about today. See you back here tomorrow.     

MLB – (961) SAN DIEGO at (962) MIAMI  7:10 ET  FSSD, FSFL

Yesterday's total in this matchup also went down in similar fashion as today's Padres vs. Marlins contest from 8 to 7.5. Last night's total of eight ended up being way off as Miami won 12-7, while I don't expect that many runs to be scored, the OVER is quite appealing. While I'm a big Chris Paddack (5-4, 2.84 ERA) fan, the Marlins Trevor Richards (3-10, 4.18) is nothing special and Miami is 22-10 OVER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better. Plus, the Friars are 11-3 OVER after allowing nine runs or more this season. 

Betting Trend - 88% backing Over

Doug's VPID Take - Play Over

MLB  – (965) TAMPA BAY at (966) N.Y. YANKEES  7:05 ET  FSSUN, YES

I'm of the opinion baseball bettors are looking at Tampa Bay's recent run production and what New York is capable of and moved the total from 9.5 to 10. And while this AL East confrontation is on a 4-2-1 Over move, this doesn't look right. Tonight's starting pitchers Yonny Chirinos (8-4, 3.11 ERA) and Domingo German (11-2, 3.40) are having fine years. My research finds Chirinos is 5-1 UNDER on the road and German is 6-0 UNDER at Yankee Stadium. Impossible to overlook the Rays are 15-5 UNDER in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) and the Yankees are 16-6 UNDER at home after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs.

Betting Trend - 56% backing Over

Doug's VPID Take - Play Under

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