Monday Night Football Props -- Seahawks-WFT: Wilson Brings Questions Once Again

  • In Charles Jay
  • Mon, Nov 29th, 2021 7:26:48 pm
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA


To what degree will the outcome of the Monday Night Football game depend on the stats of Russell Wilson? We'll explore that by way of props.

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Russell Wilson - Passing Yards

Over 248.5 yards -114
Under 248.5 yards -114

It's hard not to have some doubts about what Wilson can do. After all, he has fallen way short of expectations in the last two games, and the general consensus is that his throwing motion and release are affected by the finger he broke and which caused him to sit out three full games.

We are certain that he will try to throw the ball deep, but will that wind up being profitable? When he got injured against the Rams, his yards-per-attempt mark was 9.6, and since then, in these last two games, that has dipped to 5.6. Obviously that's a huge difference, and it's not just coincidental.

It's been a while since this Seattle team generated more than 200 net passing yards; in fact, they haven't done it for the last five games. And Wilson, who did surpass this posted total in the first three games, has not done so since. He has, in fact, only gotten past 300 yards once.

Yes, he is potentially explosive, and second in the league in Intended Air Yards per throw (9.9). But again, we doubt whether he can realize that. Let's put it this way - we'll believe it after we see it. UNDER


Logan Thomas - Receptions

Over 3.5 Receptions +100
Under 3.5 Receptions -130

Logan Thomas may wind up being a godsend for Washington. Some of you may recall that he was a quarterback at Virginia Tech who showed some promise, and was a backup for a while. But then it was decided that his talents were best utilized at the tight end spot. Last season he caught 72 passes, which wasn't bad, considering the general dysfunction in the Washington offense.

He has been on injured reserve with a hamstring issue, but has now been activated. And it is at an opportune time, since Ricky Seals-Jones suffered a hip injury. John Bates, the other tight end, it's not the guy you look to for high levels of production.

Seattle has allowed tight ends to catch 77% of those passes targeted at them. They've only allowed seven yards per reception, so we are not moving with a prop on receiving yards. However, as the Seahawks have permitted 5.8 receptions to tight ends on a per-game basis, we'll look for Thomas to get the vast majority of those opportunities from Taylor Heinicke. We'll go OVER the total here.


Antonio Gibson - Rushing Yards

Over 67.5 yards -114
Under 67.5 yards -114

We are not entirely sure what the Washington game plan is going to be, although we know that they absolutely trust Heinecke behind center. But if you look at the way the distribution of planes has been trending, the WFT has run the ball 48% of the time over the last three games, and almost 62% in their last contest.

Gibson is not the only back in the rotation, but he's the best one they have. And we were surprised to find that Washington's run-blocking grades, at least from the "power" standpoint, are the best in the NFL, if you want to use the analytics site Football Outsiders as a reference. And only six teams in the league suffer through more "stuffs"; that is, running plays that are stopped for no gain or a loss. Seattle is 23rd in the league in rushing yards allowed, so Gibson ought to have some room. OVER


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