Ole Miss will host Alabama in an SEC game on Saturday night in Oxford, Mississippi. There’s an scheduled opening tip time of 8:30 PM ET and the SEC Network will televise this contest. Currently, BetOnline is displaying Ole Miss as a 2.0-point home favorite.
Reeling Crimson Tide
It wasn’t that long ago when Alabama had won 4 straight games, improved their record to 12-7, and was clearly in the NCAA Tournament discussion. However, since that time they’ve gone 2-5 and played themselves outside of the proverbial bubble. The Crimson Tide has also 3 straight road games which includes a defeat at Vanderbilt as an 11.5-point favorite.
Living and Dying by 3-Point Shooting
Alabama is averaging a robust 31 three-point shot attempts per game. As a matter of fact, 48.4% of Alabama’s field goal attempts this season have been from beyond the 3-point line, and that’s certainly an extremely noteworthy statistic. Especially when considering that during their current 3-game road losing streak they made only 32.6% of its 3-point attempts.
Modest Home Win Streak
Ole Miss has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 at home and they won by a decisive margin of 18.7 points per game. Alluding back to Alabama’s propensity in attempting a high volume of 3-point shots. Through the Rebels current home winning streak, they’ve permitted teams to make a mere 22% of their 3-point shot attempts.
Final Analysis and Pick
One team has recently been hot at home (Ole Miss) while the other (Alabama) is struggling during their latest away games. I foresee Ole Miss neutralizing Alabama’s ability to convert on its normal cavalcade of 3-point shots, and while doing so it playing a substantial role in the outcome. One of my college basketball predictions in this SEC showdown will be on the home team.
Pick: Ole Miss -2.0