2024 U.S. Open betting preview at Oakmont

It's time to tee it up and make your bets for the U.S. Open golf 2025 major championship at Oakmont Country Club. The championship venue in Pittsburgh hosts the U.S. Open for a record 10th time June 12-15. The 7,372 yard par 70 went through a renovation by Gil Hanse in 2023, and "It is unapologetically difficult" with 5 inch rough, penal bunkers, sloping fairways and false fronts on approach with lightning fast oversized Poa greens expected to be 14 on the stimpmeter (11-12 is Tour average). 

Only four holes played under par in the 2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont, won by Dustin Johnson by 3-shots with a 276 total, or -4 under par. 

As you evaluate the players and odds, take a hole-by-hole tour of Oakmont and NBC Sports player rank of every golfer in the 156-player field. The only golfer who finished top-10 from that 2016 event who returns for the 2025 U.S. Open is Shane Lowry (T2).  

U.S. Open Golf Odds 

U.S. Open 2025 golf odds from BetOnline and leading online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Odds to win U.S. Open plus (top-10)

+400: Scheffler (+150)
+700: McIlroy (+315)
+1000: DeChambeau (+275)
+1400: Rahm (+315)
+2200: Schauffele, Morikawa, Aberg (+450)
+2500: J. Thomas (+500)
+3300: Cantlay (+500)
+3500: Niemann (+450)
+4000: Fleetwood, Hovland (+500/550)
+4500: Matsuyama, Koepka (+650/700)
+5000: Hatton, Spieth (+600/650)
+6000: Straka, Lowry, Conners (+500/600)
+7000: Berger, Reed
+8000: C. Smith, Henley, Finau, Young, Im 

72-hole winning score: O/U 278.5 (Par 70)

Bet on U.S. Open Golf matchups at a top-rated sportsbooks!

U.S. Open Tournament Matchups

U.S. Open matchups from BetOnline and BookMaker offer the most extensive betting options, and odds are subject to change. 

A Masters matchup winner on McIlroy including the outright win and green jacket to complete the career grand slam are just some of our sucessful results when watching and wagering on golf with a focus on matchup betting. That includes last week's Canadian Open longshot playoff winner Ryan Fox, with runner-up Sam Burns our tournament matchup underdog winner. 

Check back by Wednesday for matchup picks as top online sportsbooks post more matchups and betting props, along with selected outright and top finishing position bets. 

Tournament matchup picks:
- Aberg (-125) vs. Thomas (also -1.5 strokes (+105) half unit (BOL)
- Rahm (+119) vs. DeChambeau (-149) BM
- Rahm (+201) vs. Scheffler (-260) BM
- Hatton (-104) vs. Spieth (-126) 

Notable matchups: BetOnline and BookMaker 

- Scheffler (-189) vs. DeChambeau (+156)
- Scheffler (-260) vs. Rahm (+200)
- McIlroy (-115) vs. Morikawa (-115)
- Schauffele (-130) vs. McIlroy (+100)
- Aberg (-120) vs. Cantlay (+100)
- Niemann (-115) vs. Fleetwood (-105)
- Fleetwood (-125) vs. Lowry (+105)
- Matsuyama (-115) vs. Burns (-105)
- Cantlay (-120) vs. Thomas (+100)
- Spieth (-120) vs. Hatton (+100)
- Conners (-130) vs. Hovland (+100)
- Griffin (-126) vs. Henley (-104)

Outright winners and top finishing position to choose from (top 10/20): 

Rahm, Hovland, Aberg, Morikawa, Fleetwood and big longshots Hatton, Pendrith, Berger, Cauley, Rai, Young, R. Hojgaard, M. Pavon, V. Perez.

How tough is Oakmont expected to play? BetOnline has posted the over/under of number of golfers to finish the tournament under par at just 4.5.

Will there be a playoff? (Yes, +375 and No -500) 

Additional prop bets offered by BetOnline include hole-in-one odds, two teenagers lowest round (Mason Howell, 76.5), Trevor Gutschewski (78.5) and Matthew Vogt (77.5), who is an amateur practicing dentist who made the field through qualifying (more than 10,000 golfers tried to qualify into the 2025 U.S. Open). 

Key Stats

Total Driving (Distance + Accuracy)
SG: Total (Difficult scoring)
SG: Approach
SG: Tee-to-Green (focus Recent Form)
SG: Around the Green 
SG: Putting (Fast Greens) 
Bogey Avoidance (Difficult Scoring Conditions)

Total driving will be a key stat, but the U.S. Open grind and mental fortitude play a bigger role than key strokes gained stats, and especially at a most difficult course like Oakmont. 

You can bet on it. 

FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper and has a history of winning at golf betting including in the more predictable PGA tournament match-ups. FairwayJay chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Read more great insights from FairwayJay and follow him on X: @FairwayJay