Check out the latest College Football line moves that may affect betting, plus a free pick, all from expert Doug Upstone!
Week 12 NCAA Line Moves
Every week I'll identify all the latest Line Moves in NFL and College Football and offer free picks. For an in-depth look at the line moves and more free picks, check out my weekly column at gamblersworld.com. Note: All lines are courtesy of Betonline.ag.
CFB - (347) Clemson at (348) Pittsburgh Total 54
Saturday, November 16 – 12:00 p.m. ET / ESPN
This is Clemson’s last ACC game and their chance to play for the conference championship even with a victory is out of their control. Still, the Tigers want to finish 10-2 and make this the best possible season. Pittsburgh wasn’t garnering much attention despite starting 7-0, but the last two weeks have shown why that was correct, losing by 23 at SMU and coming home and failing to ignite in falling to Virginia 24-19. After looking so sharp offensively, the Panthers have scored 25 points or less in three of their last four outings, The Tigers' offense has also been inept the past two weeks at 21 and 24 points. With these general trends, the total has dipped from 56 to 54 points. Update: The total slide again down to 53. The bigger news is despite the money on Pitt, Clemson has climbed from -9 Monday, to -10 Wednesday, and Friday afternoon is -11.5. Panthers QB Eli Holstein was 50-50 to play early in the week and is now reported as a “game time decision”. It seems sharp bettors are counting on him not to play which explains the total and side both moving. We are not excited about laying more than 10 points with the Tigers on the road, but not fired up about Pittsburgh either. We’ll back the lower total on the premise the info has the Pitt QB out.
Bet Percentage: Was UNDER 56%, now 53% and Pittsburgh 65%
Doug’s Pick – Play UNDER, lean Clemson covers
CFB Top 5 Money ATS Bets (Highest in order) (30-25 record): Oregon, Texas State, FAU, Georgia Southern and Air Force
CFB Top 5 Money Totals Bets (Highest in order) (28-26-1 record): Tennessee/Georgia UNDER, Rutgers/Maryland OVER, Washington State/New Mexico OVER, Coastal Carolina/Marshall OVER and San Diego State/UNLV OVER
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