Week 4 College Football Line Moves and Picks



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Doug Upstone looks at line moves for college football Week 4, with a free pick for SMU vs TCU.

Check out the latest College Football line moves that may affect betting, plus a free pick, all from expert Doug Upstone!

Week 4 NCAA Football Line Moves


Every week, I'll identify all the latest Line Moves in NFL and College Football and offer free picks. For an in-depth look at the line moves and more free picks, check out my weekly column at gamblersworld.com. Note: All lines are courtesy of Betonline.ag. 

CFB - (311) SMU at (312) TCU Total 64 /Saturday, Sept. 20 – 12:00 p.m. ET /ESPN2

We certainly cannot be shocked that the total was lifted from 61.5 to 64 for the Lone Star State rivalry encounter. TCU is averaging 45 PPG, and SMU is at 38.3 PPG. Three of the last four battles have easily gone OVER this total. Both squads have high-powered veteran quarterbacks skilled in not only moving the chains but finding the endzone. Update: Bettors have determined 64 points was more than enough, and sharp action has sent the adjustment total to 63.5. While an Over would not catch anyone off guard, home teams like TCU, averaging 440 or more YPG, against a team with a mediocre defense (390 to 440 YPG), after gaining 475 or more total yards in two consecutive games, are 69-30 UNDER.

Bet Percentage: Previously 90% OVER, now 52%

Doug’s Pick – Play UNDER

CFB Top 5 Money ATS Bets (Highest in order) (7-8 record): Virginia, Oklahoma, USC, Western Michigan and Georgia Tech

CFB Top 5 Money Totals Bets (Highest in order) (9-7 record): Maryland/Wisconsin OVER, Michigan/Nebraska OVER, California/San Diego St. UNDER, Washington/Washington St. UNDER and Boise St./Air Force OVER

To view more line moves information and more free NFL and NCAA football picks, Click here.

To view Doug’s array of sports picks, Click here.


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