College Football Playoff Semifinal Odds And Picks



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FairwayJay has been hitting paydirt for the second straight season during the 12-team College Football Playoff. Fiesta Bowl and Peach Bowl CFP semifinals with information you can bet on.

Fiesta Bowl And Peach Bowl College Football Playoff Semifinal Games

The College Football Playoff schedule continues into the semifinals with Ole Miss vs. Miami in the Fiesta Bowl Jan. 8 and Oregon vs. Indiana in a Big Ten battle at the Peach Bowl on Jan. 9, 2026.

I chip-in more coverage, insight and analysis for BetOnline including top quarterbacks in the CFP, and additional Fiesta Bowl and Peach Bowl previews and stats with information you can bet on. 

College Football Playoff Semifinal Odds

College football odds from BetOnline and leading online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. All times Eastern (ET) and betting favorites (-) listed. For bettors interested in reduced juice sportsbook options, checkout BetAnyThing and Heritage Sports, which also offers cash back bonuses getting the 'most squeeze for your juice.' 

- No. 6 Ole Miss vs. vs. No. 10 Miami (-3.5), total 52 | 7:30 p.m. | ESPN | Jan. 8
- No. 5 Oregon vs. No. 1 Indiana (-3.5), total 47.5 | 7:30 p.m. | ESPN | Jan. 9 

Fiesta Bowl 

Ole Miss - Miami

PPG - points per game, YPG - yards per game, YPPL - yards per play, RYPG - rushing yds per game all vs. FBS opponents 

Ole Miss - Defense 21.9 PPG, 358 YPG, 5.3 YPPL, 151 rushing YPG
Miami - Defense 13.8 PPG, 292 YPG, 4.4 YPPL, 83 rushing YPG

Ole Miss - Offense 36.8 PPG, 489 YPG, 6.6 YPPL, 183 rushing YPG
Miami - Offense 30.6 PPG, 394 YPG, 5.9 YPPL 147 rushing YPG

Pick: Miami (initially posted at -3 CFP Playoffs)

Only one ACC team (Clemson) has played for the National Championship in the current College Football Playoff era (since 2014), and we nailed the underdog Clemson Tigers in their 44-16 win over SEC Alabama in the 2019 National Championship Game noting a clear stats edge and profitable position. Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence was offensive MVP of the CFP, and one of five MVP's that are playing in this weekend's NFL Wild Card Round. That includes Eagles Super Bowl-winning WR DeVonte Smith, who had 12 catches for 215 yards and 3 touchdowns in the first half in Alabama's 52-24 National Championship game win over Ohio State in 2021.  

Peach Bowl 

Indiana - Oregon

Check out my full Peach Bowl preview with additional stats and analysis in my coverage at BetOnline. 

Oregon - Defense 15.3 PPG, 269 YPG, 4.2 YPPL, 116 rushing YPG 
Indiana - Defense 11.1 PPG, 266 YPG, 4.5 YPPL, 76 rushing YPG 

Oregon - Offense 36.4 PPG, 455 YPG, 6.8 YPPL, 203 rushing YPG
Indiana - Offense 39.2 PPG, 452 YPG, 6.6 YPPL, 215 rushing YPG 

Lean: Oregon and Under 

Indiana and Oregon feature two of the most efficient and balanced top offenses in the country. 

However, interesting to note that while offense sells tickets, makes highlights and replays, and is more often referenced for statistics, three of the four teams in the CFP semi's are defensive dominators. Stats are updated above. 

Offensive MVP - CFP Championship

But the top-4 players to be voted Most Valuable Player in the College Football Playoff are quarterbacks. BetOnline and affiliate SportsBetting.ag has the current odds to win MVP. 

+135: QB Fernando Mendoza (Indiana)
+300: QB Dante Moore (Oregon) 
+375: QB Carson Beck (Miami) 
+500: QB Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss)
+1200: RB Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami)
+1400: WR Malachi Toney (Miami) 
+2800: WR Elijah Sarratt (Indiana)
+4000: TE Kenyon Sadiq (Oregon) 
+5000: RB Kewan Lacy (Ole Miss)
+5000: WR Charlie Becker (Indiana) 
+6600: WR Omar Cooper Jr. (Indiana)
+7000: RB Jordan Davison (Oregon)  
+7000: RB Noah Whittingham (Oregon) 
+8000: WR Dakorien Moore (Oregon)
+8000: RB Roman Hemby (Indiana) 

Fletcher and Toney both took bets and money in the opening hours of the prop offering to move from 25/1 to 12/1 and 14/1. 

A second-straight winning bowl season including 17-7 ATS on 2025 CFB Bowl picks and opinions (non CFP). College Football Playoff picks and opinions are 6-3 ATS, which followed last year's 5-0 ATS in the 2024 CFP quarterfinals, and 7-3 ATS overall 2024 CFP first round and quarterfinals. 

A second-straight winning bowl season including 17-7 ATS on 2025 CFB Bowl picks and opinions (non CFP). College Football Playoff picks and opinions are 6-3 ATS, which followed last year's 5-0 ATS in the 2024 CFP quarterfinals, and 7-3 ATS overall 2024 CFP first round and quarterfinals. 

Check back for any updates or upgrades including additional props with team props also 1-0 in the College Football Playoff. 

You can bet on it.

FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper and loves college football. He's been handicapping and betting college football for more than two decades and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful analysts. He chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Follow FairwayJay here at OSGA.com and on X @FairwayJay for more sports and betting insights.


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