College Football Playoff Top 25 Rankings, Week 11 Odds, Preview And Picks

Preview and Picks for College Football Week 11 matchups

Four Top 25 matchups headline the Week 11 college football card, and three other matchups involve Top 25 teams against conference opponents ranked No. 26, 27 and 28. That includes No. 26 Missouri at new No. 1 Georgia, and No. 27 Duke at No. 5 Miami, who lost their first game of the season last week as the No. 1 ranked team falling at Notre Dame. Both Missouri and Duke are big double-digit underdogs, but No. 28 Oklahoma State is a -3.5 point favorite at home against No. 10 Texas Tech, who escaped with a wild win over big 'Dog West Virginia 53-48 - a side and totals winner for us in Week 10.

Seven teams are still mathematically alive to reach the Big 12 championship game with three games left. Utah (6-0) and Texas Tech (5-1) lead five other teams at 4-2 in conference play including BYU. Those three teams play three other 4-2 teams this Saturday, and we'll be betting on the those opponents in all three matchups as part of our Week 11 picks and opinions. 

The Big Ten has has eight teams at 4-2 or better in conference play with surprising UCLA (6-0) and Indiana (5-1) currently leading the league and key games for the Bruins at home Friday vs. Illinois (4-2) and Indiana hosting USC (4-2).

The SEC has five teams 4-2 or better led by Georgia (6-1), who holds the tiebreaker over Alabama (5-2). Kentucky (5-2) is off a one-sided loss last week at Tennessee (4-2). Texas (4-2) remains in the SEC hunt with the toughest schedule, and all five teams are 7-2 or better chasing a spot in the College Football Playoff.  

The ACC title game will be determined between four teams - Miami (6-0), Wake Forest (5-1), Louisville (4-2) and SMU (4-2). Duke and Clemson are 4-3 in ACC play, and they play next Friday night in Week 12 after Duke gets defeated this Saturday at Miami with the Hurricanes off their first loss of the season last Saturday at Notre Dame. Wake Forest at SMU is the biggest game in the ACC this week and the Mustangs need the win to have a shot at making the ACC Championship Game. 

Another winning week in our Top 25 report going 6-2 ATS on all picks and opinions in Week 10, and better than 60% ATS this season on more than 100 posted plays at Off Shore Gaming Association. That includes 69% ATS since Week 4 when we ramped up the selections averaging more than 8 picks and opinions per week so you can profit from the experience betting at the top online sportsbooks. 

NCAA Football Top 25 Games and Week 11 Odds

Betting lines and college football odds from and Bookie.ag and their revamped site and menu, plus other top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live/in-game betting. Point spread on favorites plus game totals as of Tuesday night. Check out the Week 11 opening lines Sunday from Las Vegas and BetOnline. All times ET. 

Fri, Nov. 13

- Illinois at No. 4 UCLA (-10), 47.5 | 9 pm | FOX
- No. 14 Houston (-10) at Colorado, 51 | 10:15 pm | ESPN 

Sat, Nov. 14 

- No. 26 Missouri at No. 1 Georgia (-16), 47 | 3:30 pm | ABC 
- No. 2 Utah (-3) at No. 22 Arizona, 54.5 | 7:30 pm | FOX 
- Boston College No. 3 Notre Dame (-29.5), | 3:30 pm | NBC 
- No. 27 Duke at No. 5 Miami (-13.5), 53.5 | 12 pm | ABC
- No. 15 USC at No. 6 Indiana (-7.5), 50.5 | 3:30 pm | CBS  
 - No. 7 Alabama (-16.5) at Vanderbilt, 49.5  | 12:45 p.m. | SECN 
- No. 8 Texas at No. 24 LSU (-4), 46 | 7:30 pm | ABC
- No. 9 Tennessee (-2.5) at Texas A&M, 43 | 3 pm | ESPN  
- No. 10 Texas Tech at No. 28 Oklahoma State (-3.5), 73.5 | 9:30 pm | ESPN 
- No. 11 Wake Forest at No. 25 SMU (-1), 61 | 12 pm | ESPN
- Baylor at No. 12 BYU (-7.5), 49.5 | 3:30 pm | FOX
- Florida at No. 13 Kentucky (-3.5), 53 | 6:15 pm | ESPN
- Purdue at No. 16 Iowa (-17.5), 47.5 | 7:30 pm | NBC
- Oregon State at No. 17 Boise State (-13.5), 65 | 6 pm | USA 
- Michigan at No. 18 Oregon (-11), 38 | 3:30 pm | FS1 
- No. 19 Ole Miss (-1) at Oklahoma, 47 | 4:15 pm | SECN
- No. 20 South Carolina (-7.5) at Arkansas, 51.5 | 7:45 pm | SECN  
- Northwestern at No. 21 Ohio State (-12.5), 46.5 | 12 pm | FOX
- UNLV at No. 23 New Mexico (-14), 47.5 | 7:30 pm | CW

Others receiving votes: Missouri, Duke, Oklahoma State, Liberty, Louisville, North Texas, Missouri and Florida dropped out of the Top 25 this week. 

Other notable games Week 11 

(teams in bold have 5 wins and need 1 more for bowl eligibility) 

- Ohio (-1.5) at Miami Ohio, 47 - Tuesday  
- UMASS at Toledo (-14.5), 52 - Wednesday
- Memphis (-4.5) at South Florida, 50.5 - Thursday
- Florida State at Pittsburgh (-3.5), 54 - Friday
- Cincinnati at Iowa State (-3), 59.5
- Auburn (-2.5) at Mississippi State, 50
- James Madison (-4) at UCONN, 58
- Wisconsin (-7.5) at Maryland, 43.5
- Syracuse (-3) at NC State, 53.5
- Georgia Tech at Clemson (-13.5), 47.5
- Nebraska (-13.5) at Rutgers, 52
- Kansas State at TCU (-10), 45 
- Georgia Southern (-5.5) at Georgia State, 56.5
- Florida Atlantic at Tulsa (-4.5), 74
- Cal at Virginia (-10), 47.5
- Arizona State at Central Florida (-3.5), 49
- Jacksonville State (-7.5) at Western Kentucky, 52.5
- Fresno State at Texas State (-10), 60.5
- Washington (-3) at Michigan State, 43
- Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech (-17.5), 55
- Kansas at West Virginia (-2.5 / 3), 58
- Appalachian State (-1.5) at Marshall, 54
- Minnesota at Penn State (-9), 42
- Louisville (-3.5) at North Carolina, 60
- San Jose State at Air Force (-12.5), 48
- North Texas (-2) at UTSA, 77
- Utah State (-2.5) at San Diego State, 42
- North Dakota State (-6.5) at Hawaii, 38.5

Week 10 College Football Stats, Winning profiles, projections and picks 

Fairways Forecast and all NCAA Football picks and opinions posted at OSGA since Week 4 are 44-20 ATS (69%). For the 2026 season, all CFB posted picks and opinions are 56-36 ATS (61%) producing top payouts at leading online sportsbooks without the hype and tout talk. 

Follow updates on X (@FairwayJay) and check back Friday for all picks and opinions, additional analysis and stats with information you can bet on.

Top 25 

- Baylor (+7.5) 

NCAA Football Opinions 

- Oklahoma State (-3 or 3.5)
- Arizona (+3)
- USC (+7.5)

Non-Top 25
TBD, Friday

All stats are vs. FBS opponents only.

Duke at Miami - Perhaps the strangest note about this matchup is that Miami has never won an ACC championship (since 2004), and Duke has during that same time frame, winning the ACC last season. The Blue Devils (7-2/4-2 ACC) remain alive to make the title game again if they beat Miami (8-1/6-0). Duke enters off a pair of wins by a combined score of 88-5, and join Wake Forest as the best money-makers in the ACC at 7-2 against the spread (ATS). Duke bakes their bread with the Power 4's leading rusher Nate Sheppard (1,189 yards, 17 TD's). But the 'Canes run defense is No. 1 in the country allowing just 68 yards per game and 2.5 yards per rush. So Duke will try to control the ball and clock, but also attack the 'Canes through the air as Miami has allowed at least 300 passing yards and 23 points to each of their last four opponents. But teams pass on the Hurricanes because they can't run against them with any sustained success while also more often playing from behind. Duke's pass defense is the best in the ACC, and now former Duke QB Darian Mensah will try to add to his ACC-best 2,425 yards and 25 TD passes by finding the seams and completing more passes for the Hurricanes.

Missouri at Georgia - The Bulldogs buried Ole Miss last Saturday 42-7 as 3.5-point favorites to reestablish themselves as the best team and back to No. 1 ranking. Georgia has won 10-straight games against Missouri, and four of the last five scores finished under the total, which is the preferred play. Tigers QB Simmons is likely to struggle more against the 'Dawgs top-tier defense, and 4-straight losses to end the season for Mizzu would be no surprise including three of them at home.  

USC at Indiana - Both teams enter off a bye and the preseason line on this game was Indiana -10, and I bet the Trojans. The Hoosiers defense remains top tier, as does their discipline demanded by coach Cignetti. The Hoosiers are among the least penalized teams in the country. But no team has escaped more with late wins than Indiana. A 20-17 win at Nebraska after trailing 17-6 in the 4th quarter and outgained 392-328 and nearly doubled-up by the 'Huskers in first downs 25-13. A gift-wrapped game by Michigan with a Hoosiers 13-6 win in overtime and just 212 yards offense including 8/18 passing for 81 yards by QB Hoover. Then last week as a 20-point favorite, Indiana pulled the Houdini act despite outgaining Minnesota by 200 yards but needing overtime again to win 23-16. The Gophers had taken a 16-13 lead with 19 seconds left on a 60-yard field goal only to allow the Hoosiers to complete a 33-yard pass to set up their own 60-yard field goal to send the game to overtime. Between those 20-points or less scored games by the Hoosiers in regulation, Indiana lost at home to Ohio State 19-15. So it was quite a memorable month for Indiana including the spooky trick-turned-treat win on Halloween over Minnesota. USC (7-2/4-2 Big Ten) has played the toughest Big Ten schedule this season. The Trojans are plenty capable of moving the ball and scoring with a quality QB in Jayden Maiava leading the Trojans top offense at 424 yards per game and 6.1 yards per play. The question is will the USC get some production in the running game, and make enough stops on defense and force some turnovers? USC was good enough to win at Penn State in a tough night environment, but went flat at Wisconsin getting shut down and bullied in the running game while holding Wisconsin's offense to 200 yards. They lost to Oregon, but coach Lincoln Riley and the Trojans got their signature win last game over Ohio State 30-18. The Trojans defense still allowed 204 yards rushing and 260 passing with the Buckeyes playing catchup. Despite Indiana's strength and especially on defense, I'm not confident they will separate with their sometimes stagnent offense. I trust the Trojans and their offense will be rested and ready to deliver their best shot.  

Wake Forest at SMU - Wake Forest (8-1/5-1 ACC) was picked in the bottom tier of the ACC to start the season, and here they are with Coach-of-the-Year candidate Jake Dickert leading the Demon Deacons to a second-straight 9+ win season in his second year. Both SMU (7-2/5-2) and Wake Forest are in position to make the ACC title game against Miami, with the Hurricanes having already defeated the Deacons in September. A win by SMU likely gets them to the ACC championship game with only Stanford left in ACC play after next week's game at Notre Dame. Both SMU (6.5) and Wake Forest (6.8) are top 12 in the country in yards per play offense. Recall SMU missed out last season when the Mustangs lost at Cal as a 2 TD favorite in the final week. Bettors now favoring SMU as the favorite has flipped.

Utah at Arizona - The Utes (9-0/6-0 Big 12) remain one of just two teams undefeated (UCLA) after last week's Holy War rivalry win over BYU. Likely letdown by Utah and more motivation for Arizona (7-2/4-2), who features an elite, efficienct and explosive offense. Senior All-Pac 12 QB Noah Fifita leads a 322 yards per game passing offense, which is No. 2 of all Power 4 teams behind fellow Big 12 team Oklahoma State. Utah is more balanced on offense with both teams averaging 446 yards per game and 6.4 yards per play. The Utes have the advantage on defense, but they just gave their best shot against BYU, and recall when BYU shot their wad in beating Notre Dame at home only to go to Central Florida and lose badly the next week as favorite, another winner for us in our Week 8 picks that went 5-0 ATS on Top 25 games.

Texas at LSU - Monitor the injury reports and players status for Texas (4-2), who was shorthanded badly last week and still won at Missouri as our Week 10 pick. Longhorns QB Arch Manning has been playing better for a Texas team also facing a most difficult schedule and another top-tier defense at LSU (4-2). A pair of defensive dominators pose a tough test for each teams offenses.     

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State - Riding the Cowboys again after last week's blowout win made our Week 10 picks, and this offense is elite led by top QB Drew Mestemaker, the top Power 4 passer with more than 2,900 yards (329/game) and 29 TD passes. Texas Tech was fortunate to win a wild shootout 53-48 last week against West Virginia and the Mountaineers Power 4-worst defense. The Red Raiders won't slow the Cowboys high-powered offense. Oklahoma State has lost a pair of Big 12 games by 3 and 2 points, but could easily have been on a 8-0 SU/ATS run since the opening week shocking loss, but still on a 6-2 SU/7-1 ATS ride with the Power 4's top scoring offense at 42 points per game. Highest total on the college football card at 73 points, and both teams play fast, top 15 at 23-24 seconds per play. 

Baylor at BYU - The Bears (6-3/4-2 Big 12) have been unleashed since firing coach Aranda, scoring 40+ points in a pair of double-digit wins. Quarterback DJ Lagway has also responded as a former top QB recruit, passing for 6 TD's, 0 INT's and accounting for more than 340 yards total offense per game over the last two contests. Baylor better stats, performances and confidence to challenge BYU (7-2/4-2), who is off their big rivalry game and loss to Utah. Since starting the season 5-0 SU/ATS, the Cougars are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS and the Bears will bring their best again with two other remaining games against Texas Tech and Houston. 

Illinois at UCLA - The Bruins (9-0/6-0) are 5-0 SU/ATS at home this season under Coach of the Year favorite Bob Chesney. Their toughest home game was a 17-7 win over Wisconsin, but Illinois (6-3/4-2) brings more offense and a 4-game winning streak to this Friday night fight at the Rose Bowl. The Fighting Illinis lost at Ohio State 42-19 and began their current winning streak with a 38-37 OT win at Michigan State, which is a concern facing the Bruins balanced offense averaging 6.4 yards per play and a top 5 Power 4 running game averaging 213 yards per game. Along with a Bruins defense that allows just 264 ypg and 14.1 points per game (both top 10) plus a staggering +14 turnover margin and nation-leading 27 takeaways and 17 interceptions, its the Bruins who should continue their winning ways that has also included a 9-0 ATS profit-producing mark this season. Bruins or bust. 

You can bet on it.

FairwayJay is a leading sports betting industry analyst, handicapper, content creator, reporter and credentialed media member based in Las Vegas. He's been covering major sports including college football and NFL plus golf from a betting perspective for more than two decades. FairwayJay is also on the scene for NHL and major sports and events plus industry conferences and college football media days. Follow @FairwayJay on X and OSGA for more betting insight and information you can bet on.