Patriots vs Bills Prediction and Pick

Check out the latest NFL Football line moves that may affect betting, plus a free pick, all from expert Doug Upstone!

Week 5 NFL Football Line Moves

Every week, I'll identify all the latest Line Moves in NFL and College Football and offer free picks. For an in-depth look at the line moves and more free picks, check out my weekly column at gamblersworld.com. Note: All lines are courtesy of Betonline.ag. 

NFL - (483) New England at (484) Buffalo  -7.5 /Sunday, Oct. 5 – 8:20 p.m. ET /NBC

Searched to find where Buffalo had more injuries against New Orleans than we heard about, trying to understand why the Bills would crumble from -10 to -7.5 vs. rival New England. The Buffalo defense has players out and others playing hurt. Since Tom Brady went to Tampa, the Patriots have remained pesky against the Bills in spite of the talent difference. Maybe there is something we missed or cannot find, but -7.5 seems low, with -10 is too high. Update: It felt too good to be true, and it was with Buffalo back to -9. We surveyed a large chunk of angles that are very favorable for the Bills to emerge victorious. Here is the rub: 80% of them have Buffalo winning on average by 7.5 to 8 points.  

Bet Percentage: Previously Bills 93%, now 88%

Doug’s Pick – Patriots cover

NFL Top 3 Money ATS Bets (Highest in order) (5-7 record): Cardinals, Lions and Colts

NFL Top 3 Money Totals Bets (Highest in order) (7-5 Record): Raiders/Colts OVER, Cowboys/Jets OVER and Broncos/Eagles OVER

To view more line moves information and more free NFL and NCAA football picks, Click here.

To view Doug’s array of sports picks, Click here.