Five double-digit favorites top the NFL Week 15 schedule along with some key games between the Packers-Broncos, Bills-Patriots and Lions-Rams as part of our tips, totals, teasers and trends report. Following some of the worst performances and low scores of the season in Week 13, (Sunday day games 38 ppg), scoring zoomed in Week 14 to 50 points per game in the highest scoring week of the season with over/under game totals going 11-3 ATS. 

Two of those unders were the Sunday night and Monday night football contests including another top Week 14 totals tip winner for us on the Texans-Chiefs 20-10 final - one of just three games that stayed under the total in Week 14 as the Texans improved to 8-5 with the victory and the league's No. 1 defense. Houston is chasing the AFC South division title with the Jaguars (9-4) and Colts (8-5), who lost QB Daniel Jones for the season last Sunday (Achilles). Is 44-year-old Philip Rivers signing by the Colts the answer to get them to the playoffs?

The Chiefs (6-7) playoff probabilities are below 10% and their 9-year-run as AFC West champions is over after also winning the AFC again last year before losing to the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX. Kansas City has the worst conference record (3-5) of the top 10 playoff contenders, and the toughest remaining schedules of the playoff contenders is the Colts, Seahawks and Broncos followed by the Ravens, Chargers, Lions, Packers, Bears and 49ers. The easiest remaining schedules are for the Eagles, Texans and Steelers followed by the Patriots and Chiefs if they can win 'em all to steal a playoff spot. 

The push for the playoffs hits full speed and fantasy football playoffs begin in Week 15. The dregs of the NFL, okay just losers this season, take double digits including the Raiders (2-11), Titans (2-11), Cardinals (3-10) and Jets (3-10) with New York's terrible QB situation. Those losing teams are pushing for a top spot in the 2026 NFL Draft along with the Saints (3-10) and Giants (2-11) with New York having their future franchise quarterback Jaxson Dart in place for the next head coach and odds favoring a legendary NFL name (Shula) and college coach (Notre Dame) with no NFL experience.

NFL Week 15 Odds

Betting lines and NFL odds from BetOnline and top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live/in-game betting. Point spread on favorites and division games in bold. 

- Atlanta at Tampa Bay (-4.5), 44 - Thursday
- Arizona at Houston (-10), 42
- Las Vegas at Philadelphia (-11.5), 38
- New York Jets at Jacksonville (-13), 41.5
- Cleveland at Chicago (-7.5), 39
- Buffalo at New England (pk), 49.5
- Baltimore (-2.5) at Cincinnati, 51.5
- LA Chargers at Kansas City (-5.5), 41.5
- Washington at New York Giants (-2.5), 47.5
- Indianapolis at Seattle (-14), 42
- Green Bay (-2) at Denver, 42.5 
- Carolina (-2.5) at New Orleans, 40.5
- Detroit at Los Angeles Rams (-6), 55
- Tennessee at San Francisco (-13), 44
- Minnesota at Dallas (-5.5), 44.5 - SNF
- Miami at Pittsburgh (-3.5), 42 - MNF

Key Contests and Big Game Betting

A key AFC East game with the Bills (9-4) visiting Foxboro to tackle the first place Patriots (11-2). Green Bay (9-3-1) at Denver (11-2) is the top interconference game with playoff seeding and both teams pushing for the No. 1 overall seed and first round bye in the NFC and AFC.

A potential NFC playoff preview with the Lions (8-5) and Rams (10-3) in Los Angeles this week. The Seahawks (10-3) and Packers (9-3-1) remain top quality contenders along with the Super Bowl champions Eagles (8-5), and even the 49ers (9-4) and upstart Bears (9-4) are stronger entrants than some of the AFC teams in the playoff chase.

The Bears are trying to hold on in the stronger NFC North after losing to the Packers in Green Bay last Sunday, and Chicago has key games ramaining against the Packers and Lions plus 49ers on the road. Don't count on the Buccaneers (7-6) or Panthers (7-6) to make any noise in the stronger NFC playoffs as those two teams battle for the NFC South title with both teams also 7-6 over/under game totals this season.

By the way, if you haven't bet the NFC to win the Super Bowl over the AFC, they are the preferred play and now at -2.5, up from -1.

Week 15 Game Totals

Fairways Forecast and NFL game totals are 7-3 since Week 12 (2-0 top totals tips). Check back this week for our weekly picks, props and parlays with picks and opinions 9-4 ATS since Week 11 (picks 6-2), but player props struggling since a 12-0 run but still profitable this season.  

- Packers-Broncos - Under 

This total is dropping from 44.5. Two top defenses and DVOA ratings for the Packers and Broncos as Denver pushes for the single-season QB sack record (72) currently at 55. Quarterback Jordan Love on the road versus a Class A defense ranks low this week along with Bo Nix in the QB rankings.  

Opinions

- Ravens-Bengals - Over

Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow rank highly in the QB rankings matchups this week. I'm not laying it with bumbling Jackson, but the Ravens do fit positive profiles and angles to bounce back this week off two home losses to the Bengals and Steelers. Then again, it's Lamar, whose team is terribly underachieving while going 6-7 SU and 4-9 ATS. Remember, Joe Cool Burrow's first game back from a season-long injury was just weeks ago on Thanksgiving Day when he passed for 261 yards and 2 TDs (zero INT) and leading the Bengals to a 32-14 road win over the Ravens. I of course went brain fog during the festivities thinking Lamar would perform better and outplay Joe Cool. Yes, Lamar had 1 INT and 2 lost fumbles. Shouldn't be a surprise really, or Jackson's too often lack of accuracy on his passes that the announcers will say the receiver should have caught.

The 'over' has cashed in 5-of-6 recent matchups of these QB's and Ravens-Bengals battles with those contests averaging 57 points per game. Bengals home games have also averaged 65.8 points per game this season as Cincinnati's defense is a league worst stats 31.8 points per game, 410 yards per game and 6.3 yards per play (Ravens below ave. 24.6 ppg, 349 ypg, 5.5 yards per play defense). Also, NFL road favorites 4 points or less and under .500 are 8-0 over the total this season (Thanks Playbook Totals Tipsheet). Perhaps Lamar will get it together this week with better decisions and performance, and run a bit more against a Bengals defense still missing their best defender DE Trey Hendrickson and allowing a league-worst 155 rushing yards per game at 5.2 yards per rush.  

Teasers 

Teasers 4-1 posted here at OSGA last week (4-0 Sunday), as the poor officiating got in the way of key plays and results again. 

Week 15 - Bengals, Bears 

Check back and follow the Week 15 injury reports, and monitor the NFL weather with freezing temperatures near 12 degress in Chicago and also cold (20-30 degrees) in Cincinnati, Kansas City, New England and Pittsburgh on Monday night.

Also, monitor the Bills-Patriots line if it moves off pick 'em after initially opening Bills slight favorite. The Patriots are in play as a teaser if priced as underdog. The Commanders (injuries, no QB Daniels) may become a teaser as we also monitor the Giants and their league-worst run defense (5.8 ypr) and top rookie QB Jaxson Dart's off-field distractions. 

You can bet on it. 

FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper with top of the leaderboard success in NFL pointspread prognosis. Fairway is recognized as one of the sports industry's insightful analysts, and he chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Follow FairwayJay here at OSGA.com and on X @FairwayJay for more sports betting insights.