PGA Picks and Preview for Signature Event at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte for Truist Championship
The Truist Championship 2026 PGA Signature Event heads back to Quail Hollow Club where the former Wells Fargo Championship was held. Rory McIlroy is a 4-time winner of the tournament at Quail Hollow with his last win in 2024. McIlroy shot a final round 65 to post 17-under par 267 - five-shots clear of runner-up Xander Schauffele who held the 54-hole lead and has finished 2nd in the PGA events at Quail Hollow in 2023 and 2024. Those two players top the betting market to win at Quail Hollow, along with Cameron Young, who won last week's Cadillac Championship Signature Event. 
Young was one of our picks to win and a bonus to our 3-0 picks on tournament matchup, Round 1 matchup and top 20 winner.
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is not playing in the $20 million Truist Championship ahead of next week's PGA Championship, which he won last year at Quail Hollow Club. But 23 of the top 25 players in the world are playing in the Truist Championship, which has another compact field of 72 golfers shooting for the $3.6 million to prize with only Scheffler and Russell Henley missing from the world's top 10/25.
Quail Hollow Club Stats and Top Finishers
Top 10 finishes from last year's PGA Championship at Quail Hollow including Scheffler (1st), Harris English (T2), Taylor Pendrith (T5), Matt Fitzpatrick, Keegan Bradley, Si Woo Kim, Denny McCarthy (T8), Ben Griffin and Ryan Gerard (T8).
Along with Rory McIlroy winning the Truist/Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow, other champions of the event include Max Homa, Jason Day and Rickie Fowler. Scottie Scheffler and Justin Thomas won the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow Club.
The 7,521 yard, par 71 is a strong test on longer par 4's, and rewards big hitters and elite tee-to-green play. Larger than average (6,578 sq. ft) bermuda greens and moderate rough are part of the challenge with the closing 3-hole stretch at the “Green Mile” an unforgiving par-4/par-3/par-4 trilogy that has water hazards nestled against each green. Those three holes annually rank among the top-5 toughest scoring holes in events played at Quail Hollow.
The most important metrics at Quail Hollow for the
— Ron Klos (@PGASplits101) May 6, 2026
Truist Championship compared to the average annual PGA Tour course.
⛳️9th easiest to gain OTT
⛳️86.4% of tee shots on par 4/5 holes hit with driver - highest driver usage on Tour
⛳️86% driver usage + 302 yds average driving… pic.twitter.com/SlEKotpHTZ
Historical Total strokes gained leaders at Quail Hollow in this field include McIlroy, Schauffele, Thomas, Day, Fowler, Matsuyama, English, Hovland, Woodland and Smalley.
Looking beyond the top players McIlroy and Fitzpatrick as field leaders in SG: Around the Green, Scrambling, Bogey Avoidance, and strokes gained Total (Difficult Scoring Conditions), others that are top 10 in this field include Patrick Cantlay, Robert MacIntyre, Jason Day, Maverick McNealy, and Ludvig Aberg. Over the last 8 tournaments back to The Players Championship, Fitzpatrick and McIlroy lead the field in SG: Around the Green with both top 5 in Tee to Green along with Young, Schauffele, Aberg and now Alex Fitzpatrick since he and brother Matt won the team event at the Zurich Classic last month. Rounding out the top 12 in T2G are Cantlay, Scott, Spaun, Spieth, Fleetwood, Matsuyama and Si Woo Kim.
Truist Championship 2026 Golf Odds
Leading favorites and contenders golf odds from BetOnline other leading online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live/in-game betting. Odds adjust during and following rounds.
+610: Rory McIlroy
+900: Cameron Young
+1000: Xander Schauffele
+1600: Matt Fitzpatrick, Ludvig Aberg
+2500: Si Woo Kim
+2800: Tommy Fleetwood
+3500: Adam Scott, Min Woo Lee
+4000: Justin Thomas
+4500: V. Hovland, P. Cantlay, S. Burns, S. Straka
+4500: H. Matsuyaka, C. Gotterup, K. Kitayama
+5000: R. MacIntyre, R. Fowler, B. Griffin, N. Hojgaard
+5500: Harris English, J.J. Spaun
+6000: Maverick McNealy
+6500: Alex Smalley
+7000: Jordan Spieth, Akshay Bhatia
+7500: Jason Day
+8000: Justin Rose, Keegan Bradley, Gary Woodland
+8500: Aldrich Potgieter
+9000: Jacob Bridgeman, Ryan Gerard, P. Coody
+10000-12500: Stevens, Conners, Theegala, Reitan, Noren, Homa, Pendrith, Berger, Fox, A. Fitzpatrick
72-hole winning score: Over/Under 270.5 (Par 71)
Xander Schauffle's odds to win and finishing position have dropped, as he's a popular pick this week, despite having not won in the U.S. in nearly 2 years. Xander's field ranks are No. 1 SG: Approach, No. 2 current form, top 5 Tee to Green, top 10 Off the Tee and top 20 for Putting.
Tournament Matchups And Props
BetOnline and BookMaker offer an extensive range of 72-hole head-to-head player tournament matchups each week, along with select round-by-round matchups. Here are some of the notable tournament matchups and players to watch at the Cadillac Championship 2026 Signature Event.
– McIlroy (-138) vs. Young (+115)
– Schauffele (-155) vs. Fitzpatrick (+129)
- Aberg (-115) vs. Fleetwood (-105)
- Scott (-125) vs. MacIntyre (+105)
- Si Woo Kim (-132) vs. Cantlay (+110)
- Matsuyama (-132) vs. Griffin (+110)
- Burns (-120) vs. Fowler (+100)
- Hovland (-132) vs. McNealy (+112)
- Bradley (-127) vs. Conners (+106)
- Spaun (-110) vs. Kitayama (-110)
- Thomas (-140) vs. Rose (+117)
- Bhatia (-115) vs. Woodland (-105)
- N. Hojgaard (-113) vs. Day (-107)
- Straka (-110) vs. English (-110)
- Taylor (-120) vs. Harman (+100)
- Min Woo Lee (-115) vs. Gotterup (-105)
- Stevens (-115) vs. Theegala (-105)
- Cauley (-120) vs. Fox (+100)
Fairway’s Forecast and PGA tournament matchups started the year 3-0 and are now 15-5 following the Cadillac Championship last week with a best week of 4-0 in the Cognizant Classic. Majors and Signature Event matchups posted at OSGA are 6-4 plus additional top finishing position and round-by-round winners.
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Truist Championship 2026 Picks
Fairway’s Favorites: McIlroy, Schauffele, Aberg
Fairway’s Longshots: Burns, Kitayama, English, N. Hojgaard
Fairway’s Flyers: Smalley, Gerard, Fox
Note: I don't bet heavy favorites to win pre-tournament below 10/1 like McIlroy, or Schauffele if you missed better odds. Other live/in-game betting options during event, and focus on matchups and other props including finishing position. Tournament matchups 15-5 year-to-date including more underdogs.
Tournament matchups: adding by 6pm PT Wed, delayed with travel, personal.
Round 1 matchup: adding by 6pm PT Wed.
Top 20: adding by 6pm PT Wed.
PGA Championship and Odds
Next week it’s the second major of the year and the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club in Newton Square Pennsylvania, a western suburb of Philadelphia.
You can get an early hole-by-hole look at the Donald Ross-designed masterpiece at Aronimink.
I profiled the top players (link) at Off Shore Gaming Association in last year's PGA Championship, which was held at Quail Hollow Club and won by Scottie Scheffler (-11) - five shots ahead of Harris English, Bryson DeChambeau and big longshot Davis Riley.
Next week's favorites to win the 2026 PGA Championship with current odds from BetOnline include: Scheffler (+400), McIlroy (+800), Young (+1400), Schauffele (+1600), Rahm (+1800), DeChambeau (+2000), Fitzpatrick (+2200), Aberg (+2500), Fleetwood (+3300), Morikawa (+4000), Rose (+4000).
We'll have more chip-ins and shoot for fairways and greens on the PGA Tour and the biggest tournaments of the year.
You can bet on it.
FairwayJay is a leading sports betting industry analyst, handicapper, content creator, writer, reporter and poker player based in Las Vegas. He's been covering major sports including the PGA Tour from a betting perspective for two decades. FairwayJay is also on the scene for major sports and poker events plus industry conferences as a credentialed media member. Follow @FairwayJay on X and OSGA for more betting insights and information you can bet on.
