2026 NFC Win Total Predictions: 6 Best Over/Under Bets for the NFL Season

Best NFC Win Total Bets for the 2026 NFL Season

The 2026 NFL season brings a fresh set of win totals and plenty of betting value across the NFC. From teams poised to improve to contenders that could take a step back, schedule strength, offseason changes, close-game results and potential regression all play a role in finding the best NFL futures bets. This NFC win total six-pack features three Overs and three Unders, with six of our best 2026 NFL win total predictions and picks heading into the new season.

Seattle Seahawks Win Total 

Under 10.5 (-105)

The Seahawks are the reigning Super Bowl champions after not coming in as one of the favorites and that is where they reside now. Seattle was led by the defense that finished No. 1 in EPA which came against a relatively soft schedule, but that will change this season as the slate strengthens, projected to face the hardest group of opposing offenses. As for their own offense, it was nothing special last season, as the Seahawks were No. 14 in EPA and now they are without offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, who became the new head coach in Las Vegas in the offseason. Overall, the schedule is ranked No. 5 in strength per PFF and after surpassing their total by 5.5 games last season, the Seahawks are 6-1-1 to the over the last eight seasons which adds to the contrarian value.

New York Giants Total Wins

Over 7.5 -110

The Giants made the biggest coaching splash in the offseason with the hiring of coach Jim Harbaugh. This should put some life into a franchise that has been down for far too long, as the Giants have won more than seven games only twice in the last 13 years, while Harbaugh won fewer than eight games just once in his 18 years. Going back, New York is 12-2-1 to the under over the last 15 seasons so this once storied unit has seen better days and this team has similarities to the Patriots from last season. Last season, three of their four wins were by 17 points or more while seven losses were by one possession. The schedule has nine home games including the Titans, Cardinals, Saints and Browns so this will be a popular play, but we cannot miss out.

Chicago Bears Total Wins

Under 9.5 -120

The Bears are coming off one of their best seasons in a while as they won 11 games and took the NFC North for the first time since 2018. Chicago went over its win total for the first time since 2018 as well and while the number this year is lower than what they won last season, regression is expected. The Bears were very fortunate last season as they led the league in turnover differential at +22, with Houston second at +17, making it a significant part of their success. Additionally, seven of those 11 wins were by one possession and by an average of 3.1 ppg, while also winning a playoff game by four points. The schedule stiffens this season with road games against quality teams and they will face the seventh toughest slate of offenses.

Bet on NFL Football at one of these Elite-rated sportsbooks!

New Orleans Saints Win Total

Over 7.5 -120

New Orleans is coming off a six-win season after winning five games in 2024 and those combined 11 wins are the fewest in consecutive years since 2004 and 2005. The Saints managed to go over their 4.5-win total last season and there is a significant jump this season but there is plenty to look forward to. They finished strong last season by going 4-1 in their last five games, the only loss coming by two points at Atlanta which was one of five one possession defeats. This season, they play the second easiest schedule behind only Detroit and while they open with a pair of tough road games against the Lions and Ravens, the next eight weeks consist of five home games, one road game, one game in France and their bye week while overall playing in a very weak division.

San Francisco 49ers Win Total

Under 9.5 +120

Expectations are high in San Francisco once again as it is coming off a 12-win season, reaching double-digit wins for the fourth time in five seasons, as it benefitted from an easy schedule. The 49ers opened last season 4-1 with the four wins coming by 13 points combined. And of the final eight wins, only two were against playoff teams and one of those was Carolina. This season, the schedule isn’t horrible as it is ranked the No. 14 easiest as they only play seven true road games, as their eighth is in Australia against the Rams, taking a tough road game off the slate. Still, the 49ers have to face the Rams and Seahawks a total of four times while playing the tough AFC West and the improving NFC East. They have gone over their win total in consecutive years only once since 2013.

Detroit Lions

Over 10.5 -115

The Lions went from first to worst as after winning the NFC North in 2024, they finished tied for last place last season and missed the playoffs. A 4-1 start turned into a 5-7 finish as Detroit was crippled with injuries while five of those losses were by one possession. The schedule was tough as that injury riddled defense had to face the ninth hardest group of opposing offenses. This season, the schedule is the easiest in the NFL and they have only eight true road games as in addition to the three division games and at Buffalo, the other four are at Carolina, Arizona, Miami and Atlanta. They are currently favored in every home game with only two of those being under a field goal (Packers and Bears). Expect better luck this season and look more like the 2024 Lions. 

Check back for more betting advice from Matt Fargo here and purchase Matt’s Premium picks here!