Betting odds and winning information for NFL Week 3
The NFL Week 3 schedule closes the month of September, and some key games including three division contests headline our tips, totals, teasers and trends report. Another international game features the Cowboys and Ravens in Brazil. A Sunday night and Monday Night Football prime time games features four playoff teams from last year with the Rams and Broncos in Denver along with the Eagles and Bears in Chicago.
All the Week 3 games follow some notable upsets in Week 2, where we chipped-in a 3-1 picks and 2-1 opinions card. That included some of the outright upsets with the Browns (+8.5), Saints (+8.5), Raiders (+6.5) and Vikings (+4.5) winning while also eliminating more NFL survivor contest players including in the popular Off Shore Gaming Association NFL Progressive Pick 'em contest. Other 'Dog winners included the near misses but ATS covers by the Jets (+3.5) in overtime, Colts (+6.5) in overtime and Titans (+7) losing in closing seconds.
Adding to our likely biggest card of the season ahead was a 5-0 totals touchdown as part of our Week 2 tips, totals, teasers and trends report.
As we load and evaluate box score data each week, we're able to uncover more misleading scores and stats, which can help when handicapping future matchups, odds and spreads. The Bears go from scoring 59 points in Week 1 to just 3 points at home (in the rain) with the Vikings NFC North win over the Bears making Minnesota one of the surprise 2-0 teams to start the season along with the AFC West Raiders. Preseason favorites in the AFC and NFC also 2-0 include the Bills, Bengals and Chiefs plus Seahawks, 49ers and Eagles.
QB Injuries
Quarterback injuries are impacting games and odds, along with scoring, futures and prop bets. That's one of the hazards of betting, and especially if you play player props over in games or season long props. In Week 1, the Seahawks Sam Darnold (glute), Vikings Kyler Murray (concussion) and both Falcons QB's Tua Tagovailoa (oblique) and Michael Penix (torn ACL) from the preseason suffered injuries. Week 2 added more violence and harm with injuries to the Bears Caleb Williams (hamstring), Bears backup Tyson Pagent (concussion), Commanders Jayden Daniels (elbow) and season-ending knee injury to Giants QB Jaxson Dart. Fortunately, top payout sportsbooks like BetOnline offer #PlayerProtect options for qualifying prop bets like those who bet on Jaxson Dart. Follow the injured quarterbacks progress, as many will be back in action and starting soon, but the impact is signficant and can cause major movement in the betting lines like the Monday Night Football matchup between the Eagles (-4.5) and Bears in Chicago with a full TD adjustment in the spread with Williams likley out.
Fortunately the Giants play the terrible Titans this week, but deciding which bumbling quarterback will f-up more or figure out who to support when wagering between failing second-year QB Cameron Ward and Giants backup turnover troubled Jameis Winston is not something I'm willing gamble on.
NFL Week 3 Matchups and Odds
| Game | Favorite | Total |
| Atlanta at Green Bay | GB -4.5 | 43.5 |
| Seattle at Washington | SEA -7 | 40 |
| Cincinnati at Pittsburgh | CIN -3.5 | 42.5 |
| NY Jets at Detroit | DET -6.5 | 47.5 |
| Tennessee at NY Giants | NYG -3 | 39.5 |
| New England at Jacksonville | JAX -3 | 46 |
| Kansas City at Miami | KC -11 | 46 |
| Houston at Indianapolis | HOU -3 | 42.5 |
| Carolina at Cleveland | CAR -3 | 42 |
| LA Chargers at Buffalo | BUF -7.5 | 50 |
| Minnesota at Tampa Bay | MIN -1.5 | 42.5 |
| Arizona at San Francisco | SF -8.5 | 48 |
| Las Vegas at New Orleans | NO -3 | 43.5 |
| Baltimore vs Dallas | BAL -3.5 (Brazil) | 52.5 |
| LA Rams at Denver | LAR -2.5 | 44.5 |
| Philadelphia at Chicago | PHI -4.5 | 41 |
Currently in the Super Bowl futures market, the Vikings and Jaguars are the biggest liability to BetOnline, followed by the Rams and Bills which would also be a loser for the top online sportsbook. Another tip is be sure your wagering with a reputable leading online sportsbook and not making bad bets at sportsbooks! Off Shore Gaming Association has you covered with added benefits for members.
Totals, Tips, Teasers and key game analysis
Check back for more Friday and ahead of Sunday's games and follow updates on X (@FairwayJay).
Totals Tips and Opinions
ATL-GB: Under
MIN-TB: Under
Teasers (3-team 6.5 point, +130)
Bills (-1), 49ers (-2), Cowboys (+10)
LA Chargers at Buffalo - The Bills are 2-0 SU/ATS and their most efficient offense has averaged 427 yards per game and 38 points per game. MVP favorite Josh Allen has passed for 582 yards at 9.7 yards per pass (elite) and 5 TD's while rushing for 92 yards and 4 more touchdowns. Allen and lead RB James Cook operate behind Pro Football Focus' 6th ranked offensive line (same as start of season) with all five starting linemen producing PFF pass-block win rates above 95.0%. The Chargers (0-2 SU/ATS) are struggling in new offensive coordinator Mike McDonald's scheme, and now they've lost another starter for at least one game as guard Kayode Awosika (leg) is out. Los Angeles was at least a TD favorite in their first two games but lost both to the Cardinals and Raiders, who combined for 6-wins last season. The Chargers leaky pass protection has resulted in 3 Herbert interceptions, 7 fumbles (2 lost) and failures to finish drives. The middle of the Chargers defensive line is a weakness, and overall they rank in the bottom quartile of the NFL and 29th against the pass through two games. The Bills lead the NFL in scoring, and tops in efficiency at more than 7.0 yards per play while among the leaders in rushing at 144 ypg and 5.1 yards per rush, and third down conversion (57.5%). New Bills coach Joe Brady, "I know we've scored a lot of points, but we've left a lot out there too." That's scary, and the Bills defense just held Lions star RB Jahmyr Gibbs to 52 yards rushing on 16 carries, with eight of his rushes going for zero or negative yardage along with four punts in nine possessions. While the betting line has adjusted with both teams starts, buyer beware as the 10-win Chargers playoff team from last year fits some stronger ATS profiles as a contrary side. Still, fundamentals point to the Bills, and we'll tease Buffalo to just win the game as they also have extra rest and prep off a Thursday night football home win in their new stadium.
Check back for additional tips and totals plus any game analysis along with our Week 3 picks, props and parlays in a separate post with additional stats and information you can bet on.
You can bet on it.
FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper with top of the leaderboard success in NFL pointspread prognosis. That includes a 7-year run at OSGA picking 57% ATS winners on only NFL underdogs. FairwayJay is also on the poker and sports scene in Las Vegas covering major sports plus industry conferences, events and football media days. Follow @FairwayJay on X and OSGA for more betting insight and information you can bet on.


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