AFC Patriots-Broncos and NFC Rams-Seahawks

Just three games remain in the NFL season as big game betting at the top online sportsbooks continues into the conference championship games. The Patriots tackle the Broncos in Mile High for the AFC title while the Rams try to shoot down the Seahawks in Seattle for the NFC representative in Super Bowl LX. 

The Broncos and Rams won in overtime in last week's wild Divisional Round games, as millions of dollars changed hands, ur accounts between bettors and sportsbooks on crazy end game results with Bears QB Caleb Williams 'ridiculous' miracle TD pass. Unfortunately for the Broncos, QB Bo Nix suffered a fractured ankle just before his game-winning field goal in overtime and will miss the rest of the playoffs. 

Sunday, January 25 

Lines courtesy of BetOnline. All games times Eastern. Betting lines, totals, props and live-betting odds are subject to change at leading online sportsbooks. 

AFC Championship Game

New England Patriots (-5) at Denver Broncos, game total 42.5 | 3 p.m. on CBS 

Opinion: Broncos

NFC Championship Game

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-2.5), game total 47 | 6:30 p.m. on FOX 

Opinion: Rams

I had a strong play and pick on the Eagles in last year's NFC Championship game, and they rolled over the Commanders 55-23. Philadelphia rewarded us again with a big winner in the Super Bowl in another one-sided victory over the popular Chiefs, 40-22. Our 2023 playoff picks and opinions went 7-3 ATS.

Our Divisional Round picks were all opinions, and went 2-2 ATS last week getting fkd on the Rams with the Bears miracle TD pass to send the game to overtime. Of course I warned laying road points and especially more than 3, along with much concern about the bumbling Texans QB Stroud, who then went out and threw 4 INT's in the first half with more WTF moments in a 28-16 loss to the Patriots. 

Patriots-Broncos - Too big of a line correction and adjustment for QB Nix to Stidham, and the Broncos still have some edges over the Patriots, who have been impressive on defense in their two playoff wins after playing the weakest schedule in the league this season. Concern that the Broncos defense with their bumbling defensive coordinator have not been as strong the past 6 weeks as most the season, and that the Bills just rushed for 180 yards against them last week. While Stidham is an unknown and potential risk rushed into emergency duty in the AFC Championship game, he's got a strong arm, agility to run and a strong offensive line and head coach/play caller to lean on. 

Player Props:

- Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson - Over 49.5 rushing yards
- Broncos QB Jarrett Stidham - Over 13.5 rushing yards
- Total sacks in game (both teams) - Over 6.5

Rams-Seahawks - The best two teams remaining in the playoffs and the top-2 in DVOA this season going back as well to their Week 11 meeting when the Rams won 21-19 in heavy winds. Los Angeles had Seattle beat again in Week 16 leading 30-14 in the 4th quarter before a miraculous Seahawks rally behind a punt return TD and late game and OT heroics. Rams QB Stafford passed for 457 yards and 3 TD's in defeat. Seattle's 38-37 OT win provides optimism and the Seahawks do have the stronger defense and best DES in four key categories. But RB Zach Charbonnet (knee) is out following injury last week, and QB Sam Darnold still not 100% with oblique injury suffered in practice prior to last week's Divisional Round route and win over the 49ers - a winner for us. The Rams were considered the best team most the season, and clearly they are capable of winning. Take 3 points too if it pops or reduced juice sportsbook, buy it if preferred, but moneyline along with tease the Rams to the Broncos. 

Player Props: 

- Rams QB Matthew Stafford - Over 255.5 passing yards
- Seahawks QB Sam Darnold - Under 234.5 passing yards
- Rams RB Kyren Williams - Over 53.5 rushing yards

Check back over the weekend for additional stats, props and NFL coverage with information you can bet on. 

You can bet on it. 

FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper with top of the leaderboard success in NFL pointspread prognosis. Fairway is recognized as one of the sports industry's insightful analysts, and he chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Follow FairwayJay here at OSGA.com and on X @FairwayJay for more sports betting insights.