PGA FedExCup Playoffs 2026: Tour Championship Preview, Odds, Picks and Props



FairwayJay chips in FedEx Cup Playoffs preview, picks and information you can bet on for the Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta.

The FedExCup Playoffs conclude in Atlanta with just 30 PGA pros shooting for the FedExCup at East Lake Golf Club. The field has been trimmed down from 50 players after Wyndham Clark (-17) won last week's BMW Championship. Check out the players, odds, course and stats along with select picks and information you can bet on for the Tour Championship 2026 FedExCup Playoffs event. 

Clark was offered at 28/1 to win the BMW Championship at top online sportsbooks, including BetOnline. A few other players emerged from outside the top 30/40 last week to finish strong and move into the top 30, including runner-up Patrick Cantlay (-14), Gary Woodland (-12) and Robert McIntyre (-10), who finished T7 after disclosing he's been dealing with an knee injury since May. 

Players who just missed out on the Top 30 include Kurt Kitayama (30), J.T. Poston, Rickie Fowler, Bud Cauley, Nicolai Hojgaard, Alex Noren and Sungjae Im, who had moved into the Top 30 during BMW's final round but came up just short with a T10 finish. Those players and others who finished Top 50 in the FedExCup Standings secures a spot in all lucrative Signature Events for the following season, and lock up full-field PGA Tour status and entry into The Players Championship.

Notable players who were just outside the top 50 include Keith Mitchell (51), Jordan Spieth, Max Homa, Harris English, Shane Lowery, Harry Hall, Corey Conners and Daniel Berger. Those players and others up to the top 70 lock up their full PGA Tour cards for the next season and carry their accumulated points into the FedExCup Fall series.

Finishing in the Top 30 of the FedExCup earns players a 2-year PGA Tour membership exemption, automatic entry into next season's major championships (including the Masters), and guaranteed spots in all lucrative Signature Events for the following year. 

Tour Championship 2025 

Last year's Tour Championship top finishers:

1. Tommy Fleetwood (-18) - 25/1 odds
2. Russell Henley, Patrick Cantlay (-15)
T4. Scheffler, Young
T7. Sam Burns
T10: Chris Gotterup

East Lake Golf Club, Stats and Results

East Lake Golf Club has hosted the Tour Championship since 2004. The course went through a complete restoration (video) ahead of the 2024 Tour Championship by golf architect Andrew Green. The renovated course will play to 7,440 yards for the PGA pros, and par 70 with hole 14 previously a par 5 and now a 530-yard par 4. Firm Zoysia fairways are in play for the third straight week in this year's FedExCup Playoffs, along with near average Tour-size greens (6,238 sq ft). Water is in play on eight holes with 78 sand bunkers. 

Key stats to consider as you handicap the field include: 
- Tee-to-Green
- Par 4 scoring
- Approach
- Proximity to hole, 200+ yards
- Good Drives Gained
- Putting (Bermuda)

    

Rory McIlroy has played the Tour Championship at East Lake 12 straight years to lead the field. He also ranks No. 1 in SG: Tee-to-Gree, Off-the-Tee and Short Game at East Lake.

The Top-10 players in SG: Total at East Lake entering this week:
- Schauffele, Henley, Hovland, McIlroy, Clark
- Scheffler, Fleetwood, Gotterup, Scott, Morikawa 

Top players in combined SG: Tee-to-Green and Par 4 scoring in more recent form include:
- Scheffler, Burns, Fleetwood, M. Fitzpatrick, Si Woo Kim
- Tom Kim, Young, Cantlay, Matsuyama, Hovland.

Across the last eight tournaments, there are the Tour leaders playing in this week's Tour Championship (per Bamford Golf):
- Off-the-Tee: Gotterup (1), McIlroy, Schauffele, Gerard, Young, Aberg, Scheffler, Fox, Reitan, A. Fitzpatrick, Matsuyama
- Tee-to-Green: Matsuyama (1), Young, Burns, Si Woo Kim, Fleetwood, Aberg, Gotterup, McIlroy, Scheffler, Tom Kim, Morikawa, Cantlay 
- Approach: Burns (1), Morikawa, Tom Kim, Hovland, Young, Si Woo Kim, Matsuyama, Fleetwood, Scheffler, Aberg 
- Putting: Henley (1), Reitan, Burns, Bridgeman, Rose, M. Fitzpatrick, Min Woo Lee, A. Scott, Morikawa, Scheffler 
- SG: Total: Burns (1), Matsuyama, Fleetwood, Henley, Si Woo Kim, Scheffler, Cantlay, Aberg, Bridgeman, Gerard, Morikawa

No player outside of the top 4 in the Datagolf rankings has won the Tour Championship since 2019. Currently the top 4 are: Scheffler, McIlroy, Burns, M. Fitzpatrick. The rest of the top 10 are Fleetwood, Cantlay, Clark, Schauffele, Morikawa, Aberg. Note that of the top players, Matt Fitzpatrick and Si Woo Kim did not qualify for the Tour Championship the past two years. Fitzpatrick finished 34th and 40th in the FedExCup Standings, and Si Woo Kim 37th and 32nd. 

Here are the top players results at the Tour Championship since the restoration in 2023-24. 

- Scheffler: T4, Win (2024)
- McIlroy: T23, T9
- Schauffele: DNP (injury), T4 and no worse than T7 in seven other appearance including a win in 2017
- Aberg: T21, 16th
- Clark: DNP, 8th, 3rd (2023)
- Cantlay: T2, T17
- Young: T4, DNQ
- Burns: T7, T12
- Fleetwood: Win, 20th
- Morikawa: T19, 2nd
- M. Fitzpatrick: DNQ, DNQ
- Gotterup: T10, DNP
- Henley: T2, T4
- Matsuyama: 29th, T9
- Si Woo Kim: DNQ, DNQ, T20 (2023)
- Hovland: 12th, T12 
- Spaun: T25
- MacIntyre: T17, T17
- Rose: T21, DNQ - Did not qualify
- A. Scott: DNQ, T4
- Woodland: DNQ, DNQ
- Bridgeman: T27, DNQ
- Bhatia: T13, 26th
- Other players who did not qualify for the Tour Championship the past two years and play the event for the first time: Fox, Gerard, Reitan, Smalley, A. Fitzpatrick, Min Woo Lee

If you check the Strokes Gained leaders in Tee-to-Green leaders this season on the PGA Tour, you’ll see some of those high finishers in the recent FedEx St. Jude Championship won by world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, Si Woo Kim (2nd) and last year's Tour Championship winner Tommy Fleetwood (T7). 

Tour Championship 2026 Odds

Leading favorites and contenders golf odds from top online sportsbooks refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. 

+325: Scheffler
+800: McIlroy
+1500: Schauffele
+1700: Aberg, Clark
+1800: Cantlay
+1900: Young, Burns, Fleetwood
+2000: Morikawa
+2200: M. Fitzpatrick, Gotterup
+2800: Henley, Matsuyama, Si Woo Kim
+3000: Hovland
+4000: Spaun
+4500: MacIntyre, Gerard
+5000: A. Scott, Rose, Woodland, Tom Kim
+5500: Bridgeman, Min Woo Lee
+6500: Smalley, Reitan
+7500: Bhatia
+9000: A. Fitzpatrick
+10000: Ryan Fox 

Scheffler Battling Viral Illness 

Scottie Scheffler disclosed he picked up a hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) from one of his children following his FedEx St. Jude Championship victory. He decided to play through blisters and pain in the BMW Championship, but shot an opening round 72 (+2) before recoving to finish T12. We're monitoring more ahead of tournament matchups and daily matchup picks, which will be provided Wednesday. 

Scheffler was the prohibitive +150 favorite in last year's Tour Championship followed by McIlroy (+800), Aberg (+1600), Cantlay (+2500) and eventual winner Tommy Fleetwood (+2500).

This year's Tour Championship $40 million purse is broken down as follows. 

1st - $10 million
2nd - $5 million
3rd - $3,705,000
4th - $3,200,000
5th - $2,750,000
6th - $1,900,000
7th - $1,400,000
8th - $1,065,000
9th - $900,000
10th - $735,000
15th - $560,000
20th - $445,000
25th - $380,000
30th - $355,000

Tour Championship Picks

Fairway’s Favorites: McIlroy, Aberg, Clark, Cantlay, Burns, Fleetwood  
Fairway’s Longshots: Morikawa, Gotterup, M. Fitzpatrick, Hovland, Tom Kim 

Tournament matchups (26-15 YTD): Wednesday
Tournament props: Wednesday

Check back for more stats, picks and information you can bet on Wednesday. 

You can bet on it. 

FairwayJay is a leading sports betting industry analyst, handicapper, content creator, writer, reporter and poker player based in Las Vegas. He's been covering major sports including from a betting perspective for more than two decades. FairwayJay is also on the scene for major sports and poker events plus industry conferences as a credentialed media member. Follow @FairwayJay on X and OSGA for more insight and information you can bet on


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