MLB Betting -- Do Red Sox have the right guy for road trip to the Bronx?

  • In Charles Jay
  • Fri, Jul 15th, 2022 2:02:14 pm
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA


Nathan Eovaldi takes the mound for the Boston Red Sox against the New York Yankees on Friday night.

As BetOnline customers may have noticed, either the Boston Red Sox nor the New York Yankees are on a hot streak right now. And the Bronx Bombers, coming off a rough three-game series against one of the worst teams in baseball, will try to get back on the winning track tonight in a game that begins at 7:05 PM ET.

For the Red Sox, Nathan Eovaldi (4-2, 2.16 ERA) takes the mound. And southpaw Jordan Montgomery (3-2, 3.19 ) pitches for the Yankees, who just lost two out of three to the lowly Cincinnati Reds.

As for the Red Sox, they have dropped four games in a row to plummet to 47-43, in third place in the AL East. They are in the wild card race, to be certain, but more pressure has come in the form of the Baltimore Orioles, so this is an uphill battle, even with three slots available.

MLB Betting -- Here are the numbers....

The Yankees are favored at home with Montgomery:

New York Yankees -163
Boston Red Sox +150

Over 8 Runs -113
Under 8 Runs -107

And on the run line at BetOnline:

Yankees -1.5 Runs +123
Red Sox +1.5 Runs -143


MLB Betting -- About Nathan Eovaldi

Eovaldi is just coming off the injured list. he hurt his back, and has not pitched since June 8.

His 7.20 ratio of strikeouts to walks is much better than last season, when he finished fourth in the Cy Young voting. But this year his FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) figure is worse then last year's 2.79, which led the American League.

Eovaldi's problem is that he's allowed too many homers - 16 this year in less than 69 innings compared with 15 all of last season.

His road splits are much better than they are at home. When he's the visitor he has a 2.16 ERA, 0.895 WHIP, 45 K's and just four walks. That's very hard to ignore.

But again, so is the fact that his "hard hit" percentage in ten points higher this year than it was last (46.4% - 36.4%).

And he's had a difficult time with both Aaron Judge (.379) and Giancarlo Stanton (.314, three homers).


MLB Betting -- About Jordan Montgomery

He's got a 1.03 WHIP ratio, but it's interesting; the Yankees are 62-27, and that's a .697 winning percentage. But the team is only 9-8 in Montgomery's starts. That's .529. He's had 12 no-decisions.

In two starts against Boston this season he has allowed five runs and nine hits in nine innings.

He had better be careful with Xander Bogaerts. The Red Sox shortstop has hit .484 with a 1.064 OPS in 31 at bats.


MLB Betting -- Our conclusion

The Cincinnati series would appear to be an indicator that the Yankees aren't playing at peak form. And like we mentioned, Eovaldi's road splits are very appealing. Aside from the homers he's allowed, he has surrendered only seven extra base hits.

Remember, though, that Eovaldi would be the only reason we'd have interest in the Red Sox, and he probably won't go real deep in terms of pitch count, so we'd rather restrict ourselves to the five-inning prop. You could play Boston, which can be had at +125. But looking at Eovald's last three starts against the Bronx Bombers (who lead MLB in round-trippers), he's allowed five homers in 12-2/3 innings. And he hasn't gotten off to great starts.

So going OVER four runs could be a winner for us, along with +107 for a score in the first inning.

That one comes from Prop Builder at BetOnline, which gives you a lot of options....... And when it comes to making deposits,they are the most convenient, because they use every conceivable cryptocurrency!


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