Monday Night NFL Free Pick -- Giants crave home dog role vs. Seattle

  • In Charles Jay
  • Mon, Oct 2nd, 2023 1:24:55 pm
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA

The New York Giants will likely be without Saquon Barkley as they take the field against the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football.

The New York Giants have been through ups and downs, to say the least, in their first three games. They laid down and rolled over in the opener, as they were torn apart 40-0 by the Dallas Cowboys. Then it was looking like a repeat a week later against Arizona, but they came back from a 20-0 halftime deficit to charge home wit a 31-point second half. Last time out BetOnline customers saw the San Francisco 49ers beat them , but that was to be expected.

Now there is an opportunity to redeem themselves as they play host to the Seattle Seahawks in the Monday Night Football telecast, kicking off at MetLife Stadium at 8:15 PM ET.

Whaty many people have been waiting for is some word on whether Saquon Barkley will be available to play. Barkley, who led the NFC in rushing yards last season, has a high ankle sprain that kept him out of last week's game. This wil be a game-time decision on the part of head coach Brian Daboll, but the probability is that Barkley won't be able to go. Left tackle Andrew Thomas is already out of action.

With Barkley not available (if indeed that is the case), Daniel Jones will probably show up more in the ground game, although clearly the franchise gets a little nervous when he takes off with the ball.

Jones has thrown just two touchdown passes. The Seahawks have surrendered 339 passing yards per game. So Big Blue can possibly do some business.

In the Monday Night NFL betting odds on this game, as they are posted at BetOnline, Seattle is the road favorite:

Seattle Seahawks -2.5
New York Giants +2.5

Over 46 points -105
Under 46 points -115

Geno Smith has been a starter for the Jets, as well as a backup for the Giants, so he is accustomed to this venue. Last year he had a true emergence with the 'Hawks after Russell Wilson was dealt away. Coach Pete Carroll had complete confidence in him, and that confidence was answered with Smith's #4 efficiency rating in the NFC, as well as a Pro Bowl berth.

Smith is demonstrating that the 2022 season was not a one-off, as he's thrown just on interception. He's not going after a lot of chunk plays, as he's averaged just 6.6 Intended Air Yards per attempt, which is low.

Seattle's offensive efficiency is interesting to note, as they are second in the NFL in yards per point; by comparison, the Giants are 28th in that category. And if we are talking about true value, the Giants are the antithesis of the "bend but not break" defense, as they are allowing the opposition to score one point for every 11.1 yards gained (32nd in the league).

Out of the league's starting quarterbacks, Jones' 3.6 yards after the catch per completion is 31st in the NFL. One guy who could definitely help in that area is Jalin Hyatt, the third-round draft pick and Biletnikoff Award winner who once had over 200 yards and five touchdowns against Alabama, and is a certified speed burner.

He has completed the team's longest pass play of the young season, but he's only been targeted three times in three games. Daboll was lauded for his ability to make the Giants more competitive last season, but the way he has handled his receivers since he's arrived has been curious at best.

The fact is, we don't know how the Giants are going to use Hyatt, if at all.

So as it stands, Seattle has the more efficient receivers, the more efficient quarterback (oh by the way, Jones is 0-6 as a Monday Night Football QB), the better running back (Kenneth Walker III) and the better defense. So even as we recognize that home dog on MNF has some credibility, we can go play on Seahawks with a reasonable amount of conviction.

When you wager on Monday Night Football at BetOnline you get so many choices to work with....... Certainly there is Prop Builder, which gives you hundreds of angles. And with Live Betting, you can keep playing all night long........ You can open an account using your credit card, or any of sixteen different crypto options, including Bitcoin!

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