Week 4 NFL Line Moves

Check out the latest NFL Football line moves that may affect betting, plus a free pick, all from expert Doug Upstone!

NFL - (263) New Orleans at (264) Atlanta - Total 42.5
Sunday, September 29 – 1:00 p.m. / FOX

After scoring in the 40’s twice to start the season, who would have thought one week removed a New Orleans total would tumble four points to 42.5! The Saints and Atlanta scored just 29 combined points last week. Defensively, New Orleans is only permitting 14.7 PPG and the Falcons are at 20.3 PPG, and that comes after facing Philadelphia and Kansas City. We saw Derek Carr go just 14-25 for 130 last week when the Saints couldn’t post big rushing yards, making that something to watch. Atlanta’s offense is only #20 and it slips to #27 in yards per point showing their inability to cash when in scoring position. Update: Better than 80% of the sportsbooks have further lowered this total to 42. Atlanta has played three straight Unders, while the Saints are 2-1 OVER. It seems like what team can control the tempo will decide the total. I’ll lean with the lower score, believing both defenses can bother Carr and Kirk Cousins.

Bet Percentage: Was UNDER 65%, now 52%

Doug’s Pick – Lean Under

NFL Top 3 Money ATS Bets (Highest in order) (1-8 record): 49ers, Jets and Bengals

NFL Top 3 Money Totals Bets (Highest in order) (7-2 Record): Titans/Dolphins UNDER, Broncos/Jets UNDER and Commanders/Cardinals OVER

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