NFL Picks -- Maybe Titans 'Luck Out' Against Colts

  • In Charles Jay
  • Sun, Sep 15th, 2019 8:06:11 am
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA


The Indianapolis Colts aim to bounce back from an opening-game loss, while the Tennessee Titans try to provide an encore from last week's rout of Cleveland, in a 1 PM ET game in Nashville.

Preview and pick for the Colts at Titans

The Tennessee Titans couldn't have looked better last week, as they won going away against the Cleveland Browns. Now they have an opportunity to get off to a 2-0 start as they take the field against the Indianapolis Colts in a game that begins at 1 PM ET at Nissan Stadium in Nashville.

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Last week the Titans benefited from three interceptions of Baker Mayfield, with one of them returned for a touchdown, in a 43-13 rout that was, frankly, a little shocking. The Titans didn't stray all that much from what they generally like to do; they took only 52 snaps, and Derrick Henry get twenty touches out of that, with 84 rushing yards and a 75-yard reception.

And what could be more encouraging than Marcus Mariota's three TD passes. Still, as Arthur Smith took over as offensive coordinator, there were concerns about Mariota's severe lack of consistency from last year. In other words, that would be a matter of legitimate discussion after a trouble-free outing last Sunday.

Tennessee Titans free pickSo what could be different about what Mariota has to work with? Well, AJ Brown, the second-round draft pick out of Ole Miss, had a big effort, with 100 yards on three catches. And anyone evaluating the Titans coming into the season knew that stretching the field with more threats on the outside was a real "need."

In the NFL odds that have been posted on this game, Tennessee is the favorite:

Tennessee Titans -3.5 (+105)
Indianapolis Colts +3.5 (-115)

Over 43.5 points (-105)
Under 43.5 points (-105)

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Indianapolis had a few things to overcome last week. For one thing, they were getting over the shock of Andrew Luck's retirement. And they had to battle back from a 15-point deficit to tie the Chargers and send it into overtime. Jacoby Brissett is not a green replacement for Luck, and he completed 21 of 27 passes. Frank Reich and his staff are confident in him, but they can be even more confident when the ground game can actually do something. That's why it was big for Marlon Mack to go off with 174 yards. We know that the offensive line was re-tooled last season and is capable of generating a running game.

Colts Titans free playThe reality is that it was a bad day for future Hall of Fame kicker Adam Vinatieri, who missed two field goals and an extra point. He's 46 years old, so maybe he's lost it overnight, and he's expressed that he feels he's kicking for his job this week.

Do the Titans "luck out" this week? They had gone 0-11 against Luck, and have lost 17 of the last 20 in this series. What might mean more is that Tennessee is dealing with the absence of Taylor Lewan, the highest-paid left tackle in the NFL, who is serving a four-game suspension. We're going to grab the points with Indy.

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