Election Betting -- Walker, Oz, Rubio: Who's ahead as we come to the wire

  • In Charles Jay
  • Tue, Nov 8th, 2022 12:16:10 pm
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA

Herschel Walker and Mehmet Oz are two Republicans who are trying to swing control in the Senate on Tuesday, as voters go to the polls.

betting on the 2022 midterm elections

The Republican Party has an opportunity to gain control of both houses of Congress. And there are indeed many political observers who believe they are going to do just that. This is an exciting time for those who are avid conservatives and liberals (or anything in between) and like to follow this kind of thing on television all night long.

BetOnline offers a healthy menu of wagering options for those who would like to see their candidates win and make some money at the same time.

midterm elections bettingThe Senate races are so important, and perhaps the most contentious, and one that is extremely tight, involves a former Heisman Trophy and NFL star.

Herschel Walker began his pro football career playing in the USFL with Donald Trump's New Jersey Generals. And he has received a hearty endorsement from Trump as he launched his campaign for one of Georgia's seats in the U.S. Senate. Sure, he's a legend in the Peach State, but because of his ties to the GOP and Trump he's gotten a hard time from the press, and finds himself in a difficult race against Raphael Warnock, an incumbent who won a special election.

US Senate 2022 - Georgia

Herschel Walker (R)    -175
Raphael Warnock (D) +135

Perhaps an asterisk should be put next to this. That's because the projection is that these candidates will have to go to a runoff. A 50% majority is required, and in the polls neither of them has it. Walker is slightly ahead, anywhere between a half-percent and 1%.

Georgia, until recently, has been a "red" state, so Walker's lead may have vaulted him over the threshold had some controversy not developed about two women who claimed he impregnated them and then paid for their abortions. This is significant, since Walker has taken a strong "pro-life" stance. We may have to come back in a few weeks to crown a winner in this one. But based on what we have seen from the polling data, Walker does not look like a bargain at -175.

US Senate 2022 - Pennsylvania

Mehmet Oz (R)          -170
John Fetterman (D) +130

There are sharp organizations with data that points both ways. RealClearPolitics gathers information from a number of polls, and they have placed Oz ahead, but by only one-tenth of a point, while FiveThirtyEight - a site run by Nate Silver, who has some credibility as a political predictor, has Fetterman ahead by that same margin.

So we will be counting votes all the way into tomorrow morning, in all likelihood, before determining a winner.

Oz, a surgeon, became known to most people from his appearances on The Oprah Winfrey Show, and later hosted his own show that was produced by Oprah, He is another candidate who has been backed by Trump. As an aside, he has also guest-hosted "Jeopardy." He has much more of a national profile than his opponent, but has received criticism as a carpetbagger of sorts.

Fetterman is an unabashed liberal who is lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania. Prior to that, he was the mayor of Braddock, a suburb of Pittsburgh with a population of about 1700. He suffered a stroke this past May, and then passed on an opportunity to debate Oz in September. Oz has exploited Fetterman's condition, and some have commented that it became a little cruel. Others, however, question Fetterman's readiness for office after a stroke. The debate did just take place a little over a week ago, and Oz may have come out of it looking stronger.

Down in Florida, Marco Rubio is in a much less competitive race for Senate against Val Demings, a Democratic congresswoman who is the former police chief of Orlando. FiveThirtyEight has Rubio ahead by about nine points. Rubio, by the way, is priced at 80-1 (+8000) to win the GOP's presidential nomination in 2024 and 50-1 (+5000) to capture the vice-presidential nod. Demings got some buzz as a possible VP nominee in 2020 and is currently listed at 50-1 (+5000) for the 2024 nomination.

Overall, in the U.S. Senate elections, the Republicans are priced at -275 to win more races than the Democrats.

Ron DeSantis is expected to easily defeat former Governor and U.S. Senator Charlie Crist and grab a second term as Florida's governor. In the Spectrum News/Siena College poll, DeSantis is eleven points ahead. He may have his sights set higher. DeSantis is +200 at BetOnline to win the 2024 GOP nomination for president. He would likely have to square off against Trump, who, not surprisingly, is the favorite at -150.

Cast your vote for BetOnline when it comes to who's going to be in or out of office . . . Election betting is a lot of fun, and then you can follow your wagers all night long on TV . . . It doesn't matter if you're on the left or the right; you can open your account very easy - just use your credit card or any form of cryptocurrency you can think of!

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