NFL Betting -- Jalen Hurts, For Real - How Does it Affect the Eagles' Ground Game?

  • In Charles Jay
  • Sun, Dec 5th, 2021 12:07:49 pm
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA


Jalen Hurts is one of the quarterbacks who won't be seeing action as the Eagles visit the Jets on Sunday, and that could have a considerable effect.


As BetOnline customers have undoubtedly noticed, the Philadelphia Eagles have been ramping things up in the running game of late, and a big part of that is their quarterback, Jalen Hurts.

But reports out of Philadelphia (or rather New Jersey) are that Hurts won't be taking the field for the Eagles against the New York Jets on Sunday because of an ankle injury.

Starting in his place will be Gardner Minshew, who was the starting QB (when healthy) in Jacksonville, at least until Trevor Lawrence arrived.

The Eagles, who lost to the Giants last week in at MetLife Stadium, take the bus up there again, where they try to bounce back in visiting the Jets, as the development of Zach Wilson continues.

Here are the NFL betting odds on the game between the Eagles and Jets, according to our friends over at BetOnline:

Philadelphia Eagles -5.5
New York Jets +5.5

Over 44 points -113
Under 44 points -107

So do the Eagles lose something without Hurts? Well, let's put it this way - he is the leading rusher for the team that is leading the league in rushing. Hurts has 695 yards and 5.7 per carry. Philadelphia has averaged 216 yards on the ground these last five weeks, and Hurts has accounted for 67 per game.

Now, the other side of the coin is that the Eagles have been able to put together 149 yards per game over that time without Hurts, so they will still be somewhat formidable. But Jordan Howard is out, and Boston Scott has been dealing with an illness. Miles Sanders is banged up but healthy enough to play.

In Minshew, the Eagles have someone who is good at improvisation, although not nearly the rushing threat that teams have to prepare for with Hurts.

But the guy isn't exactly stationary. Minshew did run for 344 yards as a rookie with the Jags in 2019.

The problem he's going to encounter is that he has a receiving corps with slippery fingers - the Eagles blew three TD's last week on dropped passes. And maybe they'll have to rely on passing a bit more than they have, say , in their last three games, where they've run the ball 59% of the time.

My guess is that there will be less potency on the part of the Eagles, but some of that is countered by the fact that the jets, for what it's worth, have surrendered the most fantasy points to running backs in the NFL, not to mention nine yards per reception to the position and 17 rushing touchdowns. So if you have a good mechanism to run the ball, you can find success against this defense that is clearly still a work in progress under first-year head coach Robert Saleh.

Wilson came back from an injury last week and completed 14 of 24 for 143 yards and an interception, bringing his total up to ten for the season in 205 attempts. The BYU product, who wowed pro scouts last year despite playing zero games against Power 5 schools, has not short-armed the ball. In fact, he's in the upper half of starting NFL quarterbacks in terms of Intended Air Yards, averaging 8.2 per attempt. But maybe that's the problem; maybe he should be shortening things up and getting some completions, allowing his receivers to run with the ball.

Either way, we're going to be looking for an "under" on this game, primarily because we see the Eagles being taken a little out of their game, and we don't know if the Jets even HAVE any game.

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