Pro Football Odds & Preview -- What can Dolphins do for an encore?

  • In Charles Jay
  • Sun, Oct 1st, 2023 5:43:30 am
  • By Charles Jay - Exclusive to OSGA

The Miami Dolphins are coming of a 70-point explosion, and that makes people excited about what they can do against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday.

The Miami Dolphins had a chance to make NFL history last Sunday, and it was only because of, well, good sportsmanship that they did not. But no one is going to question that they can light up the scoreboard. But BetOnline patrons know they may find the going a little rougher when they travel to Western New York, as they tackle the Buffalo Bills at 1 PM ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY.

Miami looked like an unstoppable machine last Sunday as they scored 35 points in each half, rolling up an incredible 736 yards in what ended up a 70-20 victory over the Denver Broncos. They didn't even score in the last six minutes of the game. The crowd actually booed them because they did not trot out the field goal unit in an effort to set the regular season record for most points, which would have tied the all-time NFL record set by the Chicago Bears in the 1940 NFL championship game.

As it was, they ran the ball for 359 yards, with two different running backs tallying four touchdowns apiece. A new star was born - rookie Devon Achane, who topped the 200-yard mark. Unbelievably, the Dolphins, who had been maligned for an inability to establish a steady ground game, leads the league with 6.1 yards per carry. Tua Tagovailoa has already thrown for over 1000 yards. These guys didn't even have Jaylen Waddle (20 yards per catch) last week. They are scary.

In the pro football odds posted on this game by the folks at BetOnline, the Bills are the slight favorites:

Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-120)
Miami Dolphins +2.5 (+100)

Over 53.5 points -107
Under 53.5 points -113

The last time these teams met, it as in the playoffs, and Miami's third-string quarterback, Skylar Thompson, almost led his team to a straight-up victory, so maybe that gives the Bills something else to worry about.

But let's take a look at some positives for the Buffalo side. As the Dolphins bask in the glory of their 70-point output, perhaps some people have lost track of the fact that the Bills found some form in obliterating Washington 37-7 last week. They forced five turnovers (including four interceptions) and had nine sacks. they may not be able to do that again this week, but they are going to be aggressive, and the secondary designs itself to prevent big plays.

But the last two Miami opponents dropped defenders back to try and prevent the Dolphins from going deep. And what did Mike McDaniel do? He ran the ball, and with a great deal of success. Don't forget that McDaniel was a running game "guru" when he was an assistant with San Francisco, or that the Bills have allowed 5.9 yards per rushing attempt.

So what we're saying is that the Dolphins have the capability to make it happen with its backfield. And Achane, who was one of the fastest players in college football, is a talent that may have just gotten unleashed.

Surely no value is about to come your way with a team that has just scored 70 points. And we have to place some trust in the Bills' defense and with their own ground game with James Cook, who's averaging six yards a carry and 2.1 yards before contact. Let's go with the home team.

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