Wyndham Championship Odds: Last Chance To Make The Cut For FedEx Cup Playoffs

FairwayJay chips-in coverage for the Wyndham Championship ahead of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Golf and betting storylines, stats, insight and information you can bet on.

Football season is fast approaching and the focus soon turns to the gridiron on a day-to-day basis for most bettors and online sportsbooks. But the PGA TOUR has it’s own big money events to focus on over the next month ahead of Labor Day with the FedEx Cup Playoffs starting next week.

But first, there are many storylines for this week’s Wyndham Championship. It goes beyond bogeys and birdies, which will be plentiful this week at Sedgefield Country Club. It’s one of the most gettable course on Tour yielding among the most birdies.

The par 70 Sedgefield has yielded 12 rounds of 61 or better since 2010. Justin Ray Golf is a great follow for stats and information you can bet on as you handicap the golfers for win bets, props and top finishing position and tournament match-ups. 

The over/under 72 hole winning score prop is 259.5 on the par 70 course, where even par for the tournament would be 280 and downright bad golf for the pros. 

Making the Cut

Over the last four years, Sedgefield has played to an average score from 68.18 to 68.78, ranking among the easier scoring courses on Tour. As players push to improve their standing in the FedEx Cup Playoffs starting next week, many others sit just inside or outside the bubble to make the top-125 and earn a playoff spot.

Some of the golf stats, performance charts and keys to success at Sedgefield includes an emphasis on ball placement in the fairway to get the appropriate angle to the green. The greens at Sedgefield are very undulating and slope from back to front, with many falling off the edges into collection areas.

Check out the FedEx Cup points standings and follow throughout the tournament as the standings adjust. It's one of the more fascinating tournaments with plenty at stake and especially for the golfers hovering around the bubble at 125 to make the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

Some of the notable golfers and annual regulars in the playoffs who are on the bubble this week include:

- Adam Scott (121)
- Matt Kuchar (124)
- Rickie Fowler (130)
- Tommy Fleetwood (136)
- Justin Rose (138)

Based on some research and StatsLink data, Fowler likely needs a top-20 finish to make the FedEx Cup Playoffs, and his chances hover near 40%. He's never missed the playoffs in his 11-year-career on the PGA Tour. Fowler's odds at BetOnline to make the cut are -185 and miss the cut +155. His odds to finish top-20 are +225 and he's +6850 to win the Wyndham Championship at leading online sportsbook BookMaker.   

Adam Scott
needs a top-50 finish and Matt Kuchar top-40 to hold their spots and make the playoffs. Tommy Fleetwood and Justin Rose need to go low and finish top-10. The 41-year-old Justin Rose was ranked No. 1 in the world less than 2 1/2 years ago. With such depth and talent on the PGA TOUR and so many capable golfers on the Korn Ferry Tour, players have to continue to work hard, stay healthy and improve their game if they want to be among the best on the PGA TOUR and maintain their status in search of greater riches in the FedEx Cup Playoffs.    

The best longshot based on performance and course fit near the FedEx Cup Playoffs bubble is Ryan Armour, who sits at No. 122 in the FedEx Cup points standings. He's a big longshot to win with better odds at Bookmaker of +8950, but a top-45 finish gets him into the playoffs. Armour's profile at Sedgfield reads four top-25 finishes in the event the last four years including two top-10s while sporting the 3rd best scoring average. Birdies are needed to go low and for a high finish, and Armour has shot 66 or better 10 times in his 16 rounds at par 70 Sedgefield. He also ranks No. 1 ranking in Par 4 efficiency from 400-450 yards over his past 36 rounds and he's a short game specialist ranking top 10 and also top-5 in putting. If Armour can improve his tee-to-green and approach play this week, he'll cash in for fop finishing position bettors and easily make the playoffs starting next week. 

Wyndham Tournament Match-ups

Top online sportsbook BookMaker has the largest menu of tournament match-ups, and that's where the betting pros make their consistent money when betting on the golf pros. 

I've had a solid year in tournament match-ups, and my weekly selective golf posts are 20-12 this year after I made two bogeys last week and have found the rough more recently this summer. But back on the tee for the Wyndham firing for more birdies and green$, here are some tournament match-ups to consider as you bet at BookMaker and compare odds and options at other leading online sportsbooks

Joel Dahmen
(-108) vs Chez Reavie (-122) both have some interest this week as longshots greater than 70/1 who can outperform their odds. Their profiles and stats can fit, but a sharper money move on Dahmen's odds to win at BookMaker leads us to him as an underdog in this match-up. Over his last 36 rounds, Dahmen ranks top-7 in this field in Strokes Gained Approach, Ball Striking and Tee-to-Green. His short game and putting sux, which holds him back, but Dahmen can fire with confidence this week as he'll be in the FedExCup Playoffs next week ranking No. 76 while Reavie is No. 114. Looks like a value underdog. 

I'm high on Sungjae Im this week, and he's listed as a pretty good-sized favorite in two match-ups. Fire on Sungjae Im (-133) over Kevin Na with confidence, and check out some of my added profile on Sungjae Im below. Kevin Na had no success on two comparable comp courses to Sedgefield earlier this year at Harbour Town (cut) and TPC Sawgrass (81, WD), and his strokes gained stats in recent months rank very poorly in this field especially in key areas Ball Striking, Approach and below average Tee-to-Green. His Short Game and Around the Green play often saves him, but this week I don't expect near the performance that Sungjae Im is capable of and likely to produce.

Here's what I wrote about Sungjae Im this week for TheLines. 

Few fit better the course better Sungjae Im, who has a pair of top-10 finishes in the Wyndham the last two years and has shot 65 or better five times with 10.6 and 8.4 strokes gained Total. Tee-to-Green stats with accuracy will be of more significance at Sedgefield, and an emphasis on ball placement in the fairway, angles into the greens and approach placement will determine how low players go. Sungjae Im is one of the most accurate golfers from the tee ranking top-15 on Tour this season and No. 2 in Good Drives Gained and top-20 in Greens in Regulation Gained over his last 36 rounds. He’s gained strokes on Approach in five straight Tour starts and 5-of-6 Tee-to-Green. The 23-year-old also had high finishes on a few other comp courses this year with top-20’s at Harbour Town and TPC Sawgrass, and top-10 on the Donald Ross design in Detroit at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Im was striking it very well last week, but his putting really let him down. He’s still a reliable putter on Bermuda, and this week Sungjae will set himself up for plenty of good looks at birdie and a win should be within reach and +250 for top-10 seems likely again. FedEx Cup rank: 28. 

Sungjae Im can take us to the Field of Dreams this week and swing a hot stick at Sedgefield.

You can bet on it.

FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful analysts. He chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Read more great insights from FairwayJay and follow him on Twitter: @FairwayJay 

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