Monday 5/2 MLB Betting Odds, Underdog Picks, and Analysis



Renowned professional sports handicapper Ross Benjamin has identified 2 MLB money line underdogs that he views to be very attractive betting values. Find out who those picks are on and why Ross has chosen them.

Oakland A’s @ Cleveland Indians
Game# 963-964

The MLB odds at Bookmaker has Oakland listed as a money line underdog of +166.

The Indians Carlos Carrasco has gathered an excellent 0.87 WHIP over his last 5 starting assignments. However, Carrasco is 0-3 this year in his team starts at night with a large 7.54 ERA. Additionally, Carrasco averaged just 3.8 innings pitched during those trio of poor outings.

Oakland free pickAlthough the Indians produced 10 runs in yesterday’s shutout win over Baltimore, they still have an insufficient team slugging percentage of .363 this year.

Oakland’s scheduled starting pitcher for on Monday is Brett Anderson. The veteran southpaw hurler has an excellent 0.82 ERA in 5 career starts against Cleveland. That includes tossing 5.0 innings of scoreless baseball in his lone start against the Indians a season ago. Anderson can rely on an A’s bullpen corps which owns a respectable 1.31 WHIP thus far in 2019.

Oakland has enjoyed a ton of success when facing AL Central teams since the start of last season. That’s further evidenced by an outstanding 31-9 record (.775) when they’ve been cast into that role.

Any money line road underdog (A’s) of +140 or greater that possesses a season bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or better, versus an American League starting pitcher (Carrasco) who’s compiled a WHIP of 1.00 or less throughout his previous 5 starts, and that AL team (Indians) owns a slugging percentage of .410 or worse, resulted in those road underdogs going 28-17 (62.0%) since 2015. Those 45 road underdogs had an average money line price of +167.9. Hypothetically, and during the past 5 seasons, by betting $1000 per game on this MLB betting algorithm you would’ve netted a profit of exactly $30,000.

Pick: Oakland +166

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Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs
Game# 953-954

At this moment in time, 5Dimes is listing Philadelphia a money line road underdog of +123.

Philles Cubs free pickThe Cubs starting pitcher has struggled at home. Darvish has made 4 starts at Wrigley Field and posted a sizable 6.38 ERA during those outings. The Cubs right-hander also has collected a lofty 1.62 WHIP throughout 9 starts in 2019. On a positive note, he didn’t issue any walks in his previous start over 5 1/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds. Nevertheless, at some point, Darvish will more than likely need to rely on a Cubs bullpen that has an uninspiring 1.59 WHIP over their previous 7 games.

Jake Arrieta is slated to make Monday’s start for the Phillies. Arrieta has exhibited decent form over his last 3 starts. Philadelphia’s bullpen has compiled a respectable staff ERA of 3.21 and converted all 4 of its save opportunities thru their previous 7 games.

The Phillies are 14-7 in their last 21 and that includes 4-1 during its previous 5 away games. Philadelphia is fresh off a 3-game sweep of the Colorado Rockies.

Any MLB team (Phillies) that’s facing a National League starting pitcher (Darvish) who has a season long WHIP of 1.55 to 1.65, and he didn’t walk a batter during his previous start, resulted in those teams going 30-9 (76.9%) during the past 5 seasons. Those 39 teams had an average money line price of +104. Furthermore, this identical MLB betting angle has gone 15-3 (83.3%) since 2017.

Pick: Phillies +123

Ross Benjamin Free Pick

Ross Benjamin is a top sports analyst and one of the sports industry's most respected handicappers. Follow him on Twitter: @RossBenjamin1 or visit his website at RBWins.com


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