Betting predictions for NFL week 14 totals

The 2023 NFL season has been underwhelming with less scoring and more key quarterback injuries. As teams push towards the playoffs in Week 14, nearly half of the league’s current playoff teams are rolling out backups at their most important position. Fortunately, Week 14 includes the two most watched and wagered games with top starting quarterbacks still playing with Josh Allen and the Bills vs. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, and Jalen Hurts and the Eagles vs. Dak Prescott and the Cowboys. The Eagles-Cowboys game is part of our chip-ins and added over/under game totals bets along with our Week 14 underdog picks.

NFL games are averaging just 43.1 points per game this season. Prime time night games on Thursday, Sunday and Monday nights have seen far less scoring with prime time over/unders going 12-28 (12 overs, 28 unders) ahead of Week 14 not counting Thanksgiving. Monday Night Football games have seen more scoring struggles with just 2 overs and 13 unders. However, scoring was up in Week 13 to nearly 48 points per game following the thrilling Monday Night Football overtime shooutout with the Cincinnati Bengals getting the road win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, 34-31 as a 10-point underdog and a prop bet winner for OSGA followers and members.

We finally saw some shootouts and quality quarterback play in Week 13 when the San Francisco 49ers (9-3) put a 42-19 beatdown on the Philadelphia Eagles (10-2). That contests was one of five in Week 13 games that had at least 59 points scored in a week that averaged 47.8 points per game - the second highest scoring average behind the 49.7 points per game in Week 2. 

The Week 13 scoring started with a shootout win by the Dallas Cowboys over the Seattle Seahawks, 41-35. Prime time totals on the night games Thursday, Sunday and Monday Night all went over the game totals, as did the Week 14 Thursday Night Football game when the Patriots won outright as an underdog pick 21-18 over the Steelers in a game that had the lowest over/under game total of 30.5 points - lowest in nearly 30 years. 

For the season, the 193 NFL games have averaged 43.1 points per game - the lowest scoring average since league games averaged 43.0 points per game in 2009.

Now it’s time to tackle some Week 14 over/under bets and game totals courtsey of the Totals Tipsheet.

Week 14 Totals and Best Bets

The NFL Totals Tipsheet newsletter picks are having a very good season going 5-2 on their top rated 3* totals, and 21-11 on 2* for a 26-13 win rate (67%).  The Week 14 NFL totals picks include:

- 3* Vikings-Raiders under
- 2* Eagles-Cowboys over - Sunday Night Football
- 2* Packers-Giants under - Monday Night Football

Eagles-Cowboys

Here are some stats, situations and support on the Eagles (10-2) vs. Cowboys (9-3) feature and first place showdown at Dallas in the NFC East. The Eagles won the Week 9 matchup 28-23 despite the Cowboys out-gaining the Eagles 406-292 yards including 374 passing yards by Dak Prescott (+225), the current league Most Valuable Player (MVP) favorite at BetOnline ahead of Brock Purdy (+250), Jalen Hurts (+450), Tyreek Hill (+700), Patrick Mahomes (+950), Lamar Jackson (+1000) and Tua Tagovailoa (+1100).  

The Cowboys are up to a -3.5 point favorite and the game total is 51.5 points at many leading online sportsbooks. 

Both of these NFC East teams have been very good to over bettors. Particularly as of late with Dallas 5-1 over in their last 6 games while scoring at least 40 points in four of those games and a low of 23 vs. the Eagles in Week 9. Philadelphia is 4-1 over in their last 5 contests. Sure this is the highest total in any Cowboys game this season and second-highest in an Eagles contest. But both the Cowboys and Eagles rank in the TOP 5 in offensive points per game for the year with the Cowboys averaging 32.3 PPG and Eagles 27.4.  The last six meetings between the Cowboys and Eagles has seen scoring totals of 51, 74, 43, 77, 62 and 54 points. Those games are 6-0 over the total with an average score of 60.2 points per game. 

A Week 10 or later situation with both teams sporting a .666 or better winning percentage has produced a 17-3-1 over/under record the last four years. The Cowboys are also playing their third straight home game, and teams in this situation has seen the game totals go 11-1 over the total since 2018 including 7-0 over the last three years. Finally, since 2018, Cowboys home games have gone 14-2 O/U in their last 16 contests versus NFC East division opponents. 

Vikings-Raiders

A few nuggets and situations to support less scoring and under the total in the Vikings-Raiders game include:

** The Raiders are 3-9 O/U this season, including 1-5 O/U at home (games ave 36.8 PPG).
** The Vikings are also 3-9 O/U this season, and 0-6 O/U as betting favorites. 
** 3-18 over/under: NFL teams with rest (bye) and both off back-to-back losses the last 3 years.
** 4-18 over/under: All NFC road favorites of -8 or less vs. an AFC opponent with an O/U line of 47 or less points
** 4-18 over/under: Week 10 or greater non-division games when both teams are .500 or worse and O/U line is 43 or less (now both teams have backup QBs) 

If you would like more totals tips, situations and ATS support, you can reach me at FairwayJay@gmail.com. 

FairwayJay is a proven sports handicapper with unparalleled success in NFL pointspread prognosis. Fairway is recognized as one of the sports industry's insightful analysts, and he chips in additional sports betting coverage and reporting on industry news and events. Follow FairwayJay here at OSGA.com and on X (Twitter) @FairwayJay for more sports betting insights.